TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbe6…9562

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-65.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$155.33
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$142
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$168
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$400.67
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$404.38
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.7%+$203.31
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$67.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$424.41
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$129.86
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$141.05
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$49.54
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$93.41
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$239.09
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$98.58
Fenerbahce vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$114.79
Barcelona vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Partizanbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$140.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$62.4
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.5%+$67.23
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+34.9%+$104.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grambling State Tigers vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$102.11
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$150
SIUE Cougars vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$152
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$218.4
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+132%+$211.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$48.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.