Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a0e1304eb9b475e11708f25e5de13e22fcbccb7ba4721f0459fb5f8fd1c921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanneof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62b6…b6a7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 1,666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anadolu Efes | 68c | 1,662$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.09 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 1,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 43c | 1,363$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 52c | 1,196$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.25 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 797.28$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 649.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Anadolu Efes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 459.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.93 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 340.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 55c | 262.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 247.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 204.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Anadolu Efes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Anadolu Efes | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 153.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9562backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 151.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 141.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Anadolu Efes | 56c | 139.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Anadolu Efes | 66c | 120.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 74c | 110.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Anadolu Efes | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 105.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Anadolu Efes | 55c | 90.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 89.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 86.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 77.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 67c | 69.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 62.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 60.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 57.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Anadolu Efes | 70c | 41.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 32.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Anadolu Efes | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 29.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Anadolu Efes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 23.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Anadolu Efes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Anadolu Efes | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.