Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd09c9c7f68a887be12bb0ad71144fd1131d8dbf19a6f8b1660d53708c0866c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Paper Rex | 38c | 2,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Paper Rex | 53c | 1,878$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked G2 Esports | 64c | 1,536$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.77 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Paper Rex | 27c | 1,513$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed G2 Esports | 54c | 1,372$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.78 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed G2 Esports | 53c | 1,148$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 Esports | 60c | 855.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.2 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked Paper Rex | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Paper Rex | 54c | 502.11$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Paper Rex | 44c | 451.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Paper Rex | 5c | 431.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Paper Rex | 35c | 413.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9562backed G2 Esports | 74c | 404.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed G2 Esports | 53c | 383.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed G2 Esports | 54c | 340.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paper Rex | 21c | 331.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Paper Rex | 26c | 330$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 324.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed G2 Esports | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Paper Rex | 40c | 299.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed G2 Esports | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed G2 Esports | 46c | 254.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…7a48backed G2 Esports | 61c | 253.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed G2 Esports | 65c | 201.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Paper Rex | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Paper Rex | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 199.64$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed G2 Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Paper Rex | 43c | 149.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…ad23backed Paper Rex | 42c | 142.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…68c9backed G2 Esports | 73c | 136.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Paper Rex | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Paper Rex | 17c | 108.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…f0d2backed G2 Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Paper Rex | 43c | 86.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc259…100fbacked Paper Rex | 49c | 81.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…384dbacked Paper Rex | 34c | 75.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked G2 Esports | 57c | 69.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Paper Rex | 35c | 66.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…e50abacked G2 Esports | 79c | 65.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…3a23backed Paper Rex | 47c | 59.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked G2 Esports | 54c | 44.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Paper Rex | 51c | 42.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Paper Rex | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed G2 Esports | 65c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Paper Rex | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed G2 Esports | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Paper Rex | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…c194backed G2 Esports | 60c | 21.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked G2 Esports | 69c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.