TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5c1…f0d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+77.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.97
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$28.5
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+488.2%+$145.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.49
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$47.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.59
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$10
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.3
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+25%+$6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+25%+$6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.