Lol · resolved market
LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444f96eed6189dc0a45455ff7c5b2de3e0db474dcf484fc8edf97cc0c8685e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof FRK, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked FRK | 4c | 6,688$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.52 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed FRK | 18c | 5,865$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.33 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FRK | 18c | 4,160$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.85 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FRK | 26c | 2,344$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked FRK | 33c | 1,845$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FRK | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed FRK | 32c | 1,205$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.3 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team WE | 71c | 1,160$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked FRK | 21c | 738.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked FRK | 21c | 710$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FRK | 21c | 663.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Team WE | 77c | 523.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked FRK | 20c | 512.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FRK | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed FRK | 28c | 436.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Team WE | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team WE | 80c | 361.55$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FRK | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed FRK | 26c | 329.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FRK | 18c | 292$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…32b1backed Team WE | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FRK | 23c | 276$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FRK | 23c | 258.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed FRK | 20c | 248.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…570fbacked FRK | 17c | 223.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed FRK | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked FRK | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +543.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team WE | 66c | 192.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FRK | 15c | 188.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed FRK | 22c | 151.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…12c6backed Team WE | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked FRK | 31c | 127.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Team WE | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team WE | 78c | 124.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked FRK | 16c | 121.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked FRK | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FRK | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed FRK | 35c | 100.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked FRK | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Team WE | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked FRK | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Team WE | 77c | 94.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked FRK | 19c | 87.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team WE | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked FRK | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -19.9wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team WE | 75c | 83.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FRK | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked Team WE | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team WE | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed FRK | 29c | 59.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…121bbacked Team WE | 79c | 53.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…2666backed Team WE | 76c | 39.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Team WE | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…f0d2backed Team WE | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…978bbacked Team WE | 80c | 27.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4c29backed Team WE | 78c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed Team WE | 75c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team WE | 77c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Team WE | 77c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…4a57backed Team WE | 78c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Team WE | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FRK vs Team WE (BO3)Team WE won
- LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.