Lol · resolved market
LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519fe370ab979fc1027fb4dfb2292b72ce92fd9e2e28a6c76b1963577564a813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof FRK, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FRK | 17c | 3,538$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.54 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FRK | 17c | 3,297$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.66 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked FRK | 9c | 2,396$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked FRK | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team WE | 69c | 1,807$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.03 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed FRK | 25c | 1,679$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.99 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed FRK | 16c | 1,634$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FRK | 34c | 1,617$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.1 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FRK | 19c | 1,549$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FRK | 14c | 1,031$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FRK | 31c | 891.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Team WE | 78c | 883.43$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked FRK | 19c | 742.03$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked FRK | 16c | 699.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Team WE | 56c | 679.62$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FRK | 26c | 648.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team WE | 77c | 569.35$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed FRK | 15c | 549.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team WE | 73c | 533.02$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Team WE | 77c | 501.65$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FRK | 25c | 425.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Team WE | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked FRK | 11c | 399.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +543.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed FRK | 19c | 299.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FRK | 28c | 209.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed FRK | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team WE | 78c | 186.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…32b1backed FRK | 31c | 163.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team WE | 76c | 155.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…1ec9backed FRK | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked FRK | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed FRK | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FRK | 16c | 119.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked FRK | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked FRK | 27c | 112.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked FRK | 11c | 106.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7b…b6cbbacked FRK | 29c | 103.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed FRK | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed FRK | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FRK | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Team WE | 75c | 84.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…0887backed FRK | 16c | 78.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed FRK | 20c | 77.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked FRK | 15c | 70.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…bc81backed FRK | 57c | 70.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…4a75backed Team WE | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked FRK | 16c | 63.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked FRK | 18c | 55.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed FRK | 18c | 55.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…26edbacked FRK | 21c | 49.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FRK | 24c | 41.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team WE | 72c | 38.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team WE | 72c | 31.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed FRK | 36c | 30.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…121bbacked Team WE | 72c | 28.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…978bbacked Team WE | 76c | 22.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…4a57backed Team WE | 80c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FRK vs Team WE (BO3)Team WE won
- LoL: FRK vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.