TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ultra Primeof FRK, Ultra Prime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ultra Prime28c12,209$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,803.161,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f3…2bebbacked FRK51c6,393$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed FRK69c5,637$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.7223657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7503…aa2bbacked FRK80c5,628$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.972166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Ultra Prime65c4,505$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.1737245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed FRK14c4,008$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.7621137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Ultra Prime37c3,811$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.1542050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FRK12c2,875$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FRK12c2,810$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.292,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed FRK35c2,722$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.1694134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed FRK3c2,600$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68352.9%1 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick6cpaid+185.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed FRK31c2,339$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.657947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked FRK30c2,332$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.6420354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ultra Prime40c2,204$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.6985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked FRK55c2,159$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.144550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Ultra Prime37c1,945$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.351,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Ultra Prime64c1,713$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.164555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked FRK22c1,712$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37184041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed FRK56c1,691$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.544746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked FRK16c1,600$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25667552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked FRK15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22524529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked FRK9c1,222$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3959.5%9 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Ultra Prime36c1,125$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.9375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked FRK2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked FRK20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Ultra Prime54c930.9$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.92520%5 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Ultra Prime44c802.62$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.0795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Ultra Prime66c800$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26912444.4%55 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed FRK7c800$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6205%1 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f53…adc6backed FRK15c685.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked FRK9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54267.7%2 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed FRK16c599.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9850547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Ultra Prime43c581.59$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.326147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FRK6c563.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.832,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed FRK62c541.74$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Ultra Prime57c528.31$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1170752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Ultra Prime78c510.04$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.95152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked FRK13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed FRK12c449.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5446033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8778…8a09backed FRK54c449.94$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.983644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed FRK20c437.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.487250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeba7…fea3backed Ultra Prime24c425.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Ultra Prime43c406.11$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4823751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Ultra Prime33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2685939%23 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed FRK13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5235850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d83…b76bbacked FRK10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+543.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b5…e049backed FRK7c364.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed FRK55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Ultra Prime56c355.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.272975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed FRK12c350.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4223915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed FRK49c326.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012647.6%60 W · 66 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed FRK23c311.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed FRK11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df3…6180backed FRK60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked FRK55c299.94$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9621848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed FRK54c290.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3215433.1%51 W · 103 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Ultra Prime10c271.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.037869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked FRK74c269.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed FRK23c254.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.737051.4%36 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed FRK6c242.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.556149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Ultra Prime7c227.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6317410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed FRK75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed FRK15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed FRK9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+165.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4620…2716backed FRK24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486838.2%26 W · 42 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Ultra Prime51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9970162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed FRK27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010136.6%37 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked FRK34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe14b…1ad3backed FRK76c143.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked FRK15c134$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked FRK18c124.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5911141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Ultra Prime50c120.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5540364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cc…ed9cbacked Ultra Prime13c120$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed FRK13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Ultra Prime35c108.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.339053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked FRK20c107.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.766735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…3c93backed Ultra Prime74c105$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked FRK16c101.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed FRK20c100.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed FRK14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed FRK66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9939450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd354…71e3backed FRK30c96.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Ultra Prime42c80.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b8…e047backed FRK30c80.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Ultra Prime23c80.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed FRK18c79.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2380832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked FRK52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4098163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1adf…733fbacked Ultra Prime48c73.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed FRK30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fd…104ebacked Ultra Prime33c61.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Ultra Prime30c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.742133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d0…4201backed FRK55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Ultra Prime28c52.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.122654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FRK26c52.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed FRK30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512242.6%52 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x509e…db86backed FRK78c49.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Ultra Prime75c49.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.281,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5681…b253backed FRK77c48.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8797…1bfdbacked FRK37c45.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a7…63d2backed Ultra Prime74c45.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.781060%6 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.