Lol · resolved market
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac433d558980211c46f5b268d853b9dc00da96486170bc6f5cae8aba293b1ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ultra Primeof FRK, Ultra Prime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FRK | 5c | 5,748$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked FRK | 9c | 4,754$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed FRK | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FRK | 19c | 2,514$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.91 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed FRK | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FRK | 21c | 1,559$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed FRK | 11c | 1,540$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FRK | 19c | 1,290$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FRK | 14c | 1,019$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed FRK | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Ultra Prime | 79c | 948.87$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FRK | 23c | 812.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked FRK | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ca…b334backed FRK | 24c | 600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed FRK | 21c | 578.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…12c6backed Ultra Prime | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed FRK | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked FRK | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked Ultra Prime | 78c | 399.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…339ebacked Ultra Prime | 79c | 384.68$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Ultra Prime | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Ultra Prime | 79c | 378.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FRK | 21c | 350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Ultra Prime | 77c | 341.82$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Ultra Prime | 79c | 287.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 707 | 52.9%374 W · 333 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ultra Prime | 77c | 285.28$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed FRK | 4c | 268$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed FRK | 22c | 265.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked FRK | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed FRK | 6c | 233.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed FRK | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed FRK | 24c | 197.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed FRK | 22c | 137.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ultra Prime | 76c | 105.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked FRK | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ultra Prime | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Ultra Prime | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Ultra Prime | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…6dd4backed FRK | 12c | 97.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed FRK | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked FRK | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked FRK | 22c | 65.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Ultra Prime | 77c | 52.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Ultra Prime | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc259…100fbacked Ultra Prime | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd8…1cd8backed Ultra Prime | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4c29backed Ultra Prime | 79c | 41.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Ultra Prime | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime (BO3)Ultra Prime won
- LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 WinnerUltra Prime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.