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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbde3…4a49backed Dplus KIA31c38,050$11,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,285.823447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Dplus KIA78c14,883$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.0319041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed T167c14,791$9,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,920.1828746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed T178c14,176$11,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,010.1710048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T166c7,588$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00059658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA32c6,313$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.631,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed T11c5,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA29c4,761$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.241,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed T167c3,725$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.843053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T166c3,620$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.8285046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA35c3,341$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.91,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked T162c2,877$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Dplus KIA38c2,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.1727346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T165c2,473$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.621,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Dplus KIA28c2,307$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.3642050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed T167c2,217$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.2423657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked T167c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34020252%105 W · 97 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Dplus KIA33c1,974$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.6177131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Dplus KIA35c1,909$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.76147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T177c1,812$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.21,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Dplus KIA38c1,500$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Dplus KIA33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00524529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed T167c1,492$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.55248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked T178c1,429$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.9770462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Dplus KIA34c1,380$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.824750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed T179c1,155$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked T165c1,137$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.741752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed T167c1,120$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.270443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed T166c1,054$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dplus KIA20c1,016$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.991,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed T166c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Dplus KIA35c999.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9821754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Dplus KIA30c997.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6784840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed T166c980.01$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.83,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Dplus KIA35c970.07$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.8740232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Dplus KIA38c812.13$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4450845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed T169c804.99$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.8350643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked T165c800$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51913543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed T173c684.81$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked T166c651.79$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.1118755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7297…2108backed T163c649.99$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed T165c635.2$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2329761.6%183 W · 114 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Dplus KIA21c630.07$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.8194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…66a1backed Dplus KIA35c599.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed T165c581.31$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Dplus KIA23c571.57$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8623751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8de…20c1backed T165c500.02$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Dplus KIA36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32052750.9%268 W · 259 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed T163c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed T178c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dplus KIA34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33038837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA34c489$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.742,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Dplus KIA37c467.31$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5418053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Dplus KIA43c462.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9730155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed T168c461.83$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6518656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…e822backed T169c435.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed T170c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked T163c399.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed T17c376.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Dplus KIA31c335.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.423762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed T165c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x096f…5c68backed T165c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021644%95 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed T164c304.75$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed T167c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed T156c272.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.981338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Dplus KIA37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Dplus KIA35c269.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.868643%37 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa32…58dcbacked Dplus KIA37c266.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.962733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Dplus KIA41c254.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.83852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked T167c243.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8821255.2%117 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked T159c215.73$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.221258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9416…9d2cbacked T165c213.62$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed T147c211.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked T166c205.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+97.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked Dplus KIA23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1546150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…c953backed T166c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed T167c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe265…7069backed T165c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked T180c198.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585461.1%33 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked T171c195$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed T166c190$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed T163c190$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.714158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed T165c184.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045050.9%229 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Dplus KIA36c167.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4621655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked T164c156$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed T165c154.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015354.2%83 W · 70 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked T165c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed T168c153.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.715152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed T167c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed T167c147.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7512055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x706e…e1b8backed Dplus KIA39c146.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7069…9cb3backed Dplus KIA35c143.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.147837.2%29 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Dplus KIA35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8635035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Dplus KIA36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8930134.2%103 W · 198 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed T175c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056060.4%338 W · 222 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked T166c120.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed T164c116$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Dplus KIA31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.95347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13a…a600backed Dplus KIA36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1120645.6%94 W · 112 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Dplus KIA38c110.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.438733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.