TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ca8…1a39backed T168c19,850$13,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,568.5428746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T12c10,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Dplus KIA32c7,675$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,246.8544751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Dplus KIA36c7,312$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,704.5866947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked T10c7,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Dplus KIA55c5,052$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.516147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed T19c2,919$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.563930.8%12 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed T165c2,150$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.2839750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Dplus KIA31c2,033$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.6657947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed T143c1,828$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.776165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T151c1,779$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.8985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Dplus KIA36c1,611$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.7785746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed T165c1,543$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.495248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Dplus KIA31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03524529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA33c1,500$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dcf…75b9backed T149c1,421$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x794e…4247backed T13c1,412$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49750%0 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…6cfcbacked T168c1,400$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.54560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dplus KIA32c1,349$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.351,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked T169c1,096$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.0818053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…cfe8backed T16c1,095$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x130c…782cbacked T13c1,077$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.024126.8%11 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Dplus KIA33c1,033$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1940232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked T16c1,005$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5613543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Dplus KIA34c863.38$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.8326246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed T164c771.38$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.713852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA31c771.33$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.221,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Dplus KIA33c736.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.6813747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed T156c676.37$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6350643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked T15c649.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.49220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed T148c640$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.470443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed T169c597.83$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.529761.6%183 W · 114 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Dplus KIA39c515.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.741662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…e21bbacked Dplus KIA36c514.78$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dplus KIA35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32538837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed T162c456.83$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2242852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe041…a51dbacked T167c447.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.886753.7%36 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Dplus KIA80c445.58$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA38c444.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.552,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Dplus KIA48c405.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6977131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d04…b959backed T18c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked T165c399.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.997544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Dplus KIA76c391.06$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0514150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Dplus KIA33c357.84$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7512433.9%42 W · 82 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed T166c355.66$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7423624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed T118c353.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1744738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Dplus KIA31c335.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4245041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked T165c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Dplus KIA76c290.37$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.465152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed Dplus KIA57c284.5$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0212847.7%61 W · 67 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed0…5776backed Dplus KIA36c277$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.592937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Dplus KIA73c274.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7921965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Dplus KIA37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2735035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Dplus KIA50c246.93$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4350845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked T169c215$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3528855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc62c…32b1backed Dplus KIA35c211.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.78562.4%53 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed T133c201$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0118046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1301…cd9abacked Dplus KIA45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Dplus KIA37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12624147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7297…2108backed T116c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed T150c190.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Dplus KIA75c171$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.137451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed T167c159.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed T166c153$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Dplus KIA33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5230134.2%103 W · 198 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Dplus KIA33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed T167c149.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4914158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa32…58dcbacked T167c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked T168c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021255.2%117 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Dplus KIA31c135.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+97.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Dplus KIA33c132.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9934631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Dplus KIA37c129.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.658643%37 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed T168c127.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3520563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked T165c126$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13a…a600backed Dplus KIA35c124.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1620645.6%94 W · 112 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed T169c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed T166c107$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Dplus KIA32c99.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.993767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb361…c953backed T169c90$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Dplus KIA32c88.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Dplus KIA34c87.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.492853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed T166c79.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed T168c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked T125c71.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dplus KIA31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked T166c61.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7620252%105 W · 97 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Dplus KIA33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe71d…56d7backed Dplus KIA33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x601e…4df0backed Dplus KIA33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Dplus KIA35c59.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9256317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Dplus KIA34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8295551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8e…00abbacked Dplus KIA35c56.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7610342.7%44 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Dplus KIA37c55.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7615854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed T165c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed Dplus KIA37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.057250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Dplus KIA33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Dplus KIA35c49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3456…db74backed T166c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a4…28efbacked Dplus KIA33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.