TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA35c10,174$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.8954353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA31c7,266$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.611,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed T166c6,101$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.69850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed T165c5,425$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.573551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed T168c3,757$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.076147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T173c3,693$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.171,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Dplus KIA1c3,672$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Dplus KIA34c3,204$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.7910933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Dplus KIA34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02031036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dplus KIA17c2,716$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.2641752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Dplus KIA36c2,555$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.8659647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed T164c2,380$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.1927346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed T165c2,292$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7741644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T164c2,244$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.11,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Dplus KIA36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72013543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked T167c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66020151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Dplus KIA2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Dplus KIA5c1,987$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Dplus KIA36c1,800$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6483852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Dplus KIA33c1,800$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Dplus KIA30c1,581$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked T166c1,549$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.5118258.8%107 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked T162c1,535$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.712231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Dplus KIA38c1,530$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed T166c1,527$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.537660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Dplus KIA32c1,480$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.624750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Dplus KIA14c1,476$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.75337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed T166c1,468$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Dplus KIA9c1,417$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Dplus KIA38c1,314$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed T169c1,229$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.457451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x67d4…c718backed Dplus KIA3c1,103$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.597842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Dplus KIA19c1,067$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5318053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed T166c1,055$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35844350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked T164c1,012$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3223751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed T166c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34030661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked T164c1,000$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3627544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x794e…4247backed Dplus KIA1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10750%0 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Dplus KIA36c935.98$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.354042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked T175c913$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7329536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed T165c881.05$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.951,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Dplus KIA36c830$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.811548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed T165c764.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0550845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Dplus KIA26c729.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6423624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Dplus KIA36c695$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25042852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA34c658.01$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.723,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dplus KIA28c640.01$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Dplus KIA22c640$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Dplus KIA38c606$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe265…7069backed T166c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dplus KIA29c568.06$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Dplus KIA36c554.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7618755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Dplus KIA32c546.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6313525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f0c…1cd5backed Dplus KIA37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dplus KIA37c539.37$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.171,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8de…20c1backed Dplus KIA38c527.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Dplus KIA16c501$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3618046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dplus KIA36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked Dplus KIA2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed T165c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17552650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked T162c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Dplus KIA32c468.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked T165c458.88$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.611050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed T166c446.26$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Dplus KIA36c333.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed T162c321$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9814158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096f…5c68backed T165c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6921644%95 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcee…089ebacked T165c307.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked T165c305.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3631435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed T165c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.791060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked Dplus KIA14c299.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117462.1%108 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed T165c286$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.125752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…58dcbacked Dplus KIA36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed T165c275.06$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0639450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe227…e21bbacked Dplus KIA37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed T177c267.48$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.086656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Dplus KIA38c265.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed T178c260.52$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.565152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Dplus KIA27c255$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7518656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked T167c224.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.714150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Dplus KIA37c209$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.334131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e79…b2d0backed Dplus KIA25c203.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Dplus KIA32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Dplus KIA29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed T165c193.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.853073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed T167c191.4$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.077250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Dplus KIA34c172.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6812450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed T169c168$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.083759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Dplus KIA38c159.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f39…4c71backed T165c152.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed T168c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4829856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dplus KIA19c145.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed T165c141$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Dplus KIA11c139.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628211%31 W · 251 L-19.9wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed T166c137$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Dplus KIA34c132.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4584050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Dplus KIA32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.666445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0a…ada0backed Dplus KIA22c130$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…74d1backed Dplus KIA11c130$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.