TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67d4…c718

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$54.47
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,533.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+359.1%+$1,741.09
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,073.35
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,947.2
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$948.78
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+103.5%+$296.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,400
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+113.4%+$567.23
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+39.9%+$107.24
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,087Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+94.2%+$4,792.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.7%+$178.38
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+224.8%+$1,280.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,219.91
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,619
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$464.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.