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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.G Esportsof Gen.G Esports, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Gen.G Esports79c5,002$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.26365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paper Rex27c3,220$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.8710743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Gen.G Esports52c2,009$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.282272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Paper Rex24c1,122$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Paper Rex47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Paper Rex15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-72.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Paper Rex23c999.78$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.066953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d4…c718backed Gen.G Esports58c964.46$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Paper Rex39c742.18$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9239545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70e…933abacked Paper Rex49c585.71$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex14c576.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5824732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Paper Rex53c571.51$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.96346%29 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Paper Rex49c510$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Gen.G Esports47c374.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.73438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Paper Rex33c270.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.621020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d1…a8eebacked Gen.G Esports49c256.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5114…8346backed Paper Rex20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Paper Rex48c221$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Paper Rex16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Paper Rex51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Paper Rex28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed Gen.G Esports64c124.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24de…72f1backed Paper Rex11c109.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Paper Rex10c107.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91833.3%6 W · 177 L-73.1wins-0.40per pick43cpaid-93.1%equal weight11-0.35 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Gen.G Esports57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2610661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked Paper Rex25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.18333.7%28 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Paper Rex42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Paper Rex48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Gen.G Esports48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.654439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Paper Rex41c58.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Paper Rex48c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Gen.G Esports53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.64852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Gen.G Esports52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Gen.G Esports52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Gen.G Esports52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Gen.G Esports52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Gen.G Esports52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Gen.G Esports52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Gen.G Esports52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Gen.G Esports65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0818056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Gen.G Esports57c22.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86671.2%47 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c1…f0d2backed Gen.G Esports75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.