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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Gen.G Esports, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c75…8c7abacked Gen.G Esports0c9,284$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Paper Rex74c2,964$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.546365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Gen.G Esports53c2,494$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.052272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Paper Rex47c1,829$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.996953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gen.G Esports10c1,768$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7910743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Gen.G Esports34c1,498$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.273438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex47c670$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.134356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Gen.G Esports19c643.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3739545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Gen.G Esports28c494.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5924732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex66c425.3$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.310661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gen.G Esports31c345$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Gen.G Esports22c344.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe7…40ddbacked Gen.G Esports8c318.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Paper Rex50c206.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2712151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Paper Rex47c188.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Gen.G Esports53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Paper Rex48c102$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Paper Rex53c101.78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked Gen.G Esports28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228333.7%28 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Gen.G Esports49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d1…a8eebacked Gen.G Esports41c58.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Paper Rex44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+73.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Gen.G Esports52c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Paper Rex43c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Gen.G Esports57c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Gen.G Esports52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Gen.G Esports56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Gen.G Esports56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Gen.G Esports52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Paper Rex45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.