Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef3d9fe537386a60796e776bfd9885330e011edcbc2bb5a8caeba69bc29fe9c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Oh My God | 56c | 77,058$43,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,093.92 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 69c | 21,963$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,897.52 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 19,328$8,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,823.68 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 18,012$8,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,759.46 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 17,487$7,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.84 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Oh My God | 1c | 8,888$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Oh My God | 55c | 6,537$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.43 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 6,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 5,894$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.57 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 5,790$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.02 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 68c | 5,608$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.05 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Oh My God | 50c | 5,504$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.83 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oh My God | 43c | 5,390$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.68 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Oh My God | 58c | 5,345$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.04 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 5,225$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.25 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 5,072$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.92 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Oh My God | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 4,915$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.15 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Oh My God | 50c | 4,607$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.99 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 4,343$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.17 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Oh My God | 53c | 4,206$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.9 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Oh My God | 59c | 4,050$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.72 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 3,999$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.38 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Oh My God | 53c | 3,887$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.22 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…bd43backed Oh My God | 35c | 3,668$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.69 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…c718backed Oh My God | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.2 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Oh My God | 54c | 3,433$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.19 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 3,347$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.67 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.13 | 200 | 35%70 W · 130 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 3,315$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.89 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 3,279$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.24 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…2d64backed Oh My God | 53c | 3,250$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 3,148$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.43 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…2a2dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 3,143$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.36 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oh My God | 51c | 3,143$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.34 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…ec30backed Oh My God | 40c | 2,722$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.76 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 2,696$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.38 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Oh My God | 55c | 2,613$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.28 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 2,577$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.04 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 2,462$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.36 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,416$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.96 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Oh My God | 52c | 2,291$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.59 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,261$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.99 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,212$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.47 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,199$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.02 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…4e24backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 67c | 2,039$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 1,995$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.33 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,965$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.11 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,963$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.3 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…c0aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 72c | 1,962$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.09 | 330 | 58.5%193 W · 137 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,928$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.46 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,904$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,853$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.67 | 328 | 44.2%145 W · 183 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,830$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.95 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 1,790$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.36 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed Oh My God | 57c | 1,710$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.4 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Oh My God | 54c | 1,635$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.47 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,461$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.27 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Oh My God | 58c | 1,415$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Oh My God | 58c | 1,404$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.25 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…9f3ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,394$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.63 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Oh My God | 53c | 1,383$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.99 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Oh My God | 38c | 1,350$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.97 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Oh My God | 16c | 1,291$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 156 | 32.7%51 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 1,249$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.42 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Oh My God | 56c | 1,245$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.09 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,244$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Oh My God | 47c | 1,217$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.9 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Oh My God | 58c | 1,099$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.2 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,083$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Oh My God | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.28 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,035$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.5 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,017$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.33 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oh My God | 51c | 1,002$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.43 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Oh My God | 46c | 990.15$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Oh My God | 35c | 989.7$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Oh My God | 57c | 872.17$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.33 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…1928backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 67c | 861.41$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 858.63$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.03 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Oh My God | 56c | 840.73$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.22 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Oh My God | 53c | 771.2$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.15 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Oh My God | 9c | 750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Oh My God | 56c | 736.19$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.27 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 691.52$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.23 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 686.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Oh My God | 50c | 670.92$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.18 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 647.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 638.01$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 617.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.25 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oh My God | 45c | 587.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.36 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 583.51$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Oh My God | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 579.49$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.73 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.