Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7497a0dc21b4a322bc2f7989219cb0ab56979099508c8e72a2857cac557d7f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oh My Godof ThunderTalk Gaming, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 49,601$12,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,814.3 | 1,016 | 47%478 W · 538 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 42,221$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…b283backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 14,740$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 11,742$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.93 | 484 | 49.8%241 W · 243 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 11,230$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.08 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…5588backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Oh My God | 62c | 9,969$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.35 | 644 | 55.6%358 W · 286 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Oh My God | 55c | 9,279$5,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.72 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 6,425$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.71 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 6,222$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.8 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Oh My God | 62c | 6,081$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.85 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Oh My God | 63c | 5,631$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.31 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…1928backed Oh My God | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Oh My God | 73c | 4,776$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.06 | 408 | 51.7%211 W · 197 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 4,049$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.65 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 3,440$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…4e24backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 3,137$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…edafbacked Oh My God | 70c | 2,695$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.93 | 131 | 65.6%86 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 587 | 3.6%21 W · 566 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 2,142$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.47 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Oh My God | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…1708backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 1,993$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…bd43backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,887$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Oh My God | 62c | 1,743$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.82 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 1,658$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.61 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Oh My God | 66c | 1,600$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.63 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 1,548$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Oh My God | 63c | 1,530$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.22 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,483$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.72 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,416$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.87 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 1,388$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Oh My God | 51c | 1,341$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.6 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,095$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…43b7backed Oh My God | 77c | 1,067$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 129 | 70.5%91 W · 38 L | +16.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Oh My God | 80c | 1,059$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,024$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.89 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Oh My God | 62c | 1,019$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Oh My God | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Oh My God | 61c | 993.07$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Oh My God | 60c | 983.34$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.84 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 975.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.89 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Oh My God | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 953.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Oh My God | 60c | 948.82$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.53 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 945.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 928.51$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.88 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 867.47$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.36 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Oh My God | 63c | 735.1$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 723$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oh My God | 52c | 708.46$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 678.78$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…d8c4backed Oh My God | 56c | 673.58$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.49 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Oh My God | 66c | 660.13$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Oh My God | 76c | 649.57$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…5d82backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 640.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Oh My God | 50c | 628.56$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…8137backed Oh My God | 71c | 604.21$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…980bbacked Oh My God | 79c | 598.2$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Oh My God | 63c | 586.68$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.07 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 523.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Oh My God | 55c | 515.17$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Oh My God | 62c | 510$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Oh My God | 61c | 504.81$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 1,009 | 48.2%486 W · 523 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 501.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Oh My God | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 3.9%9 W · 223 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Oh My God | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…4867backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 494.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 493.4$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Oh My God | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Oh My God | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…f86cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 474.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 444.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Oh My God | 62c | 418.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 308 | 56.5%174 W · 134 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Oh My God | 56c | 401.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…bc03backed Oh My God | 73c | 400.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…f78fbacked Oh My God | 65c | 396.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 43 | 83.7%36 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 395.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Oh My God | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Oh My God | 58c | 387.38$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 372.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 365.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 354.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked Oh My God | 49c | 351.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 342.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Oh My God | 57c | 340.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 332.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Oh My God | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…7b35backed Oh My God | 78c | 304.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…e225backed Oh My God | 76c | 302.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Oh My God | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…b1fabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 299.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…ede3backed Oh My God | 66c | 293.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 293.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.