TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe916…4563backed Over35c5,700$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.8512338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Under1c3,365$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.98293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under66c2,767$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.2813243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under65c2,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6251,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under37c2,373$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.8713543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Over64c2,352$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.596147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under33c2,271$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.753,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36c…440abacked Over58c1,400$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.996653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Under39c1,284$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over68c1,221$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.187451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Under30c1,178$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over66c1,044$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1330661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Under4c940$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Under39c899.31$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7340232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Over60c743.4$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under66c700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Under40c699.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28042852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Under43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Over57c564.41$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.696165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over73c549.42$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3841644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over61c539.99$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.228855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Under65c521.72$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1236034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcee…089ebacked Over60c512.03$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Under4c511.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4723915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Under65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3257544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Under43c460.47$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19825942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under40c444.44$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.442,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under44c441.3$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.970443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Under68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b8…2173backed Under72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003381.8%27 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+42.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9750643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe227…e21bbacked Under40c378$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under36c364$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5610933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Under43c325$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.51,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Under38c263.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under20c225$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3916934.3%58 W · 111 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62c…32b1backed Under43c212.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918562.4%53 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…2108backed Over61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ad…63debacked Over57c176.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.723839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6731435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under66c151.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Over60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6050547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Under72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Over60c124$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.623624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.83930.8%12 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Over43c115.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.742853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Under39c113.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4434565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under67c111$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.371553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Under40c103.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5118053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Under37c101.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under66c101$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.161,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216753.3%89 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818342.6%78 W · 105 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3953954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under67c98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under67c89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.631346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.89430.9%29 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Under37c78.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2918656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under67c78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.261833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under67c76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…9cb3backed Under41c73.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307837.2%29 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Under33c60.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Over59c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.455750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Over66c59.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.495853.4%31 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under67c59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under66c58.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8210652.8%56 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over64c53.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.414045%18 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Over77c53.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2119041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed Under72c46.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Over33c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over33c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.664146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over33c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over33c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under65c23.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1154129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.