Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23483bf93242ca81bd77814c832b37f7274c0ad39ac513df23d3b4e274e31868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Yakutou Brothers, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Passion UA | 64c | 4,585$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 4,238$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 3,630$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.6 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 1,600$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Passion UA | 61c | 1,081$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 66c | 1,076$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 12c | 479.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 412$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yakutou Brothers | 66c | 358.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.92 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Passion UA | 34c | 228.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Passion UA | 47c | 211.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Passion UA | 71c | 211.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Yakutou Brothers | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Yakutou Brothers | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 117.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Passion UA | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Passion UA | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…b5dfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Passion UA | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Passion UA | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…f0d2backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…fdf1backed Passion UA | 76c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA (BO3)Passion UA won
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.