TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0646…0b51backed Sinners0c20,781$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c7…ec41backed Sinners0c10,407$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sinners14c9,004$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.781,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit77c5,571$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.383,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sinners26c4,627$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sinners31c4,595$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.021,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Spirit65c4,300$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5056651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sinners42c3,663$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.7959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Sinners47c3,585$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.8115050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Sinners33c3,100$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Sinners4c2,785$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.877625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Sinners36c2,752$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.0434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…d0f1backed Sinners15c2,704$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners25c2,352$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.524,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sinners14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Sinners17c1,990$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5410549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Spirit67c1,866$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.829050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked Sinners31c1,748$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.86026.7%16 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Sinners23c1,573$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3633457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Sinners13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Spirit74c1,357$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked Sinners13c1,202$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Sinners23c1,191$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.691353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Sinners44c1,128$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Sinners25c1,053$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26012021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Sinners22c986.13$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.771,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e3…2422backed Sinners13c975.72$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Sinners13c947.35$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.749264.1%59 W · 33 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked Sinners35c908.31$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.732420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners8c896.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.991,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit70c800.02$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0164552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Spirit75c766.55$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5552449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Sinners24c711.77$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0520433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners13c710.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.242,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Spirit75c706.19$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6933949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Spirit72c691$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5612752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Sinners40c668.7$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Sinners14c619.95$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.465812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spirit60c603.25$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1436245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed Spirit79c577.99$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7914953.7%80 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Sinners26c516.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.849151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Sinners25c450$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.522365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x110c…d9c6backed Sinners10c406.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.998733.3%29 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x072c…1c83backed Sinners36c373.93$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Spirit58c351.53$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8392152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3801…83ddbacked Spirit65c349.97$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.242250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Sinners33c303.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Sinners11c286.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.031782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit59c284.17$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5135341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sinners36c278.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Sinners9c234.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.966829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Sinners43c232.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6f…d933backed Sinners23c217.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc8…fd71backed Spirit74c202.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Sinners23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4635344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Sinners32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Sinners5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e94…85e6backed Spirit67c199.42$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.817969.6%55 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Spirit55c195.91$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.161,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Sinners35c181.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4826836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Sinners16c178.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.538636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa615…6f16backed Spirit78c168.82$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbd…16d6backed Sinners31c164.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe4a8…68ebbacked Sinners16c150.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Spirit70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit76c148.37$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1669863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Spirit68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac18…6f88backed Sinners8c141.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf87e…1b8abacked Spirit60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Spirit60c121.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.56758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Spirit70c112.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3610450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Spirit72c107.02$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.947647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Sinners29c103.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.993525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked Spirit78c100.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.927647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Sinners25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9feb…b4aebacked Spirit80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Spirit63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711546.1%53 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Sinners15c97.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4920243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe089…f441backed Sinners29c86.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891c…ef89backed Sinners21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185567.3%37 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Sinners23c84.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.684429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked Spirit72c76.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4218451.1%94 W · 90 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3a…35bbbacked Sinners22c67.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Spirit59c55.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.965637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7124…93eabacked Sinners36c55.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Sinners23c54.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.452240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Spirit67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.524440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Spirit67c47.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.769832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed Sinners41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.279759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Spirit67c40.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6829128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Spirit66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.660838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Spirit75c36.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.118951.7%46 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Spirit66c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2410236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Spirit74c31.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Sinners32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Spirit68c29.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.599243.5%40 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Spirit71c27.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9911747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f0…a444backed Spirit79c26.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.