TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda35…ff0ebacked Sinners13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Sinners18c2,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.221,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Sinners16c1,909$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9912021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sinners35c1,800$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63059839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed Sinners23c1,749$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.023630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Sinners6c1,700$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.75812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sinners26c1,679$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.973,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Spirit67c1,443$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.911782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked Sinners22c1,426$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.642420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners24c1,342$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.094,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sinners34c1,290$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.611,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners13c1,270$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.322,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit67c1,175$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.781,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7efc…bea6backed Sinners23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Spirit74c1,029$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.986038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sinners15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Sinners15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit77c976.68$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1644648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Sinners29c935.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sinners22c917.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners12c912.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.442,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit73c746.43$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20338868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Sinners19c724.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x501f…7debbacked Sinners8c720.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sinners21c716.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Sinners15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10531654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked Sinners34c699.86$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.954040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sinners13c601$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.831,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Sinners35c555$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2515743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Sinners20c529.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.959152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Sinners24c529.02$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.457625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Sinners15c461.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.110450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9272…8e6ebacked Spirit75c437.39$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Spirit75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10039851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Sinners11c350$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Sinners26c344.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896129.5%18 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit69c342.1$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.523,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit66c335.3$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11435341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Sinners22c314$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.357834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Sinners19c300$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.534147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Sinners21c261.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9726836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Spirit73c257$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3962350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Sinners28c210.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5952449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Sinners17c201.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7420243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Sinners11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Sinners19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9f…a82fbacked Sinners25c186.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072c…1c83backed Sinners26c176.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Sinners24c169.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.29047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Spirit76c164.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7718265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Spirit73c139$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5333949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Spirit69c128.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Sinners20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff7c…82b5backed Sinners20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6642…5076backed Sinners18c110.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Spirit72c109.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.812752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Sinners22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed Sinners14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Sinners18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1880741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Spirit77c97.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…78e5backed Sinners13c90.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Sinners19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa615…6f16backed Spirit78c79.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…d0f1backed Spirit79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed Spirit65c75.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4448826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spirit66c74.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4960147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Sinners34c74.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.433357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2959…e41abacked Sinners23c71.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Spirit70c71.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3d…76b9backed Sinners28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Sinners24c61.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.527647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa6…81e0backed Spirit72c55.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891c…ef89backed Spirit66c48.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.485567.3%37 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4d…9371backed Spirit71c42.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Sinners26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.482146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…e51dbacked Spirit77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4ed…50efbacked Spirit73c39.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.796229%18 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked Spirit76c38.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.163060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Spirit75c33.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3429128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Spirit77c32.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.584250%21 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7719…80b6backed Spirit76c25.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13073.3%22 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f0…a444backed Spirit78c23.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.072161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Spirit70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42af…15f7backed Spirit76c17.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.293951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcc…4601backed Spirit80c15.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed Spirit80c15.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.029759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac2…bb88backed Spirit79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.