CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa522a2a64dde57612c2d1caf4dcb5db02676b9e830b14e74b0d8f5b726f6bd86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Sinners | 26c | 1,830$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sinners | 26c | 1,811$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.84 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,236$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Spirit | 75c | 811.39$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Spirit | 70c | 505$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sinners | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Spirit | 74c | 456.15$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Spirit | 71c | 281.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Sinners | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Sinners | 29c | 124.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sinners | 26c | 87.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Spirit | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Spirit | 74c | 42.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Spirit | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Spirit | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Spirit | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…8d30backed Spirit | 74c | 23.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.