CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0fb8dc3a65bd4d6b9552384666f3ab8a76d3b55bfc289c728181c2ff18c821b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 0c | 7,382$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 25c | 772.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 19c | 751$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 64c | 578.59$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Over | 23c | 506.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 68c | 346.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 30c | 259.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…b72dbacked Under | 78c | 212.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Under | 76c | 187.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Under | 64c | 156.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 21c | 127.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 86.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Under | 71c | 70.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Over | 28c | 65.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Under | 77c | 60.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Under | 66c | 49.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Under | 76c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 39c | 26.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…1c83backed Under | 63c | 16.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 76c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.