Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d2741e3fec4d42fde7e6a5ca914d82afa811a433a83e5ef29dd665fd226c075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oh My Godof ZSM, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Oh My God | 72c | 26,769$19,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ZSM | 25c | 18,277$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.82 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ZSM | 30c | 6,000$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.5 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oh My God | 78c | 4,968$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.75 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked ZSM | 13c | 4,867$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed ZSM | 23c | 3,877$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.85 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed ZSM | 28c | 3,197$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Oh My God | 78c | 3,135$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.22 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed ZSM | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.15 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Oh My God | 78c | 2,858$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.48 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked ZSM | 26c | 2,739$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.05 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Oh My God | 68c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ZSM | 24c | 1,991$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked ZSM | 22c | 1,399$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.71 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked ZSM | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ZSM | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked ZSM | 6c | 1,082$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed ZSM | 22c | 999.55$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ZSM | 14c | 931.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed ZSM | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Oh My God | 79c | 631.62$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ZSM | 22c | 590.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed ZSM | 22c | 578.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ZSM | 23c | 549.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed ZSM | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Oh My God | 78c | 443.07$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ZSM | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked ZSM | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed ZSM | 26c | 387.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ZSM | 21c | 381.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Oh My God | 78c | 365$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Oh My God | 77c | 335.49$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ZSM | 25c | 299.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Oh My God | 78c | 287.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 707 | 52.9%374 W · 333 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed Oh My God | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ZSM | 23c | 249.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed ZSM | 23c | 247.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked ZSM | 28c | 213.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Oh My God | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Oh My God | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…1454backed ZSM | 24c | 162.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed ZSM | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed ZSM | 30c | 141.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Oh My God | 73c | 129.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed ZSM | 33c | 121.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed ZSM | 19c | 107.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Oh My God | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked ZSM | 23c | 95.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked Oh My God | 74c | 88.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked ZSM | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -19.9wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…7d58backed ZSM | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked ZSM | 29c | 81.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ZSM | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Oh My God | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…fc6abacked Oh My God | 65c | 79.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Oh My God | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc259…100fbacked Oh My God | 79c | 66.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oh My God | 62c | 66.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Oh My God | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Oh My God | 78c | 61.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Oh My God | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed ZSM | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Oh My God | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…2666backed Oh My God | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Oh My God | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Oh My God | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked Oh My God | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed ZSM | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Oh My God | 76c | 39.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…f0d2backed Oh My God | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…c9b7backed Oh My God | 77c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68e…8a50backed Oh My God | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Oh My God | 78c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Oh My God | 78c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)Oh My God won
- LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.