TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION49c39,259$19,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,162.6112256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Xtreme Gaming49c24,155$11,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,882.628258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming71c9,793$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION38c9,084$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.071,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION42c8,860$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.671,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming52c8,434$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION51c7,497$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.4989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Xtreme Gaming61c5,533$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.62766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd23d…f322backed PARIVISION73c4,739$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.125459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed Xtreme Gaming50c4,438$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION36c4,367$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.3934146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming55c3,641$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99910451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Xtreme Gaming4c3,600$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50028159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming55c2,731$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Xtreme Gaming80c2,512$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Xtreme Gaming3c2,388$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4613.3%2 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf85…1681backed Xtreme Gaming1c2,300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION37c2,155$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.3115946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming17c2,056$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.3480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION51c2,050$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.8834468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed PARIVISION50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming59c1,752$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.3364149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Xtreme Gaming59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed PARIVISION50c1,652$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION52c1,595$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76253652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION35c1,486$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.2810048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION43c1,261$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.319743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9c…4cb4backed PARIVISION64c1,083$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.912744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming51c1,007$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.6356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Xtreme Gaming48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5615…df5ebacked Xtreme Gaming10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36012851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION72c979.79$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1119147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Xtreme Gaming35c922.22$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.787549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming50c916.83$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4228341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming67c900$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed PARIVISION50c890.33$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1613155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdc…3198backed Xtreme Gaming76c797.07$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming54c790.78$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.0214446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Xtreme Gaming53c764.38$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1215742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming58c743.57$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2754445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming78c724.13$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.8346872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18222033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked PARIVISION50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Xtreme Gaming48c618.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Xtreme Gaming8c599.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed PARIVISION49c569.05$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8320361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Xtreme Gaming63c526.13$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3298239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION49c518.63$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.549133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf858…37d0backed Xtreme Gaming50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming47c497.52$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8339936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION39c493.68$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508661.6%53 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Xtreme Gaming50c478.75$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2386139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c6…54cbbacked Xtreme Gaming14c450$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625246.2%24 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+38.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming50c422.94$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4760552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming26c409.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2110745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20416050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Xtreme Gaming51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20415653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b82…9c30backed Xtreme Gaming76c394.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Xtreme Gaming69c378.11$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8512862.5%80 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed PARIVISION53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Xtreme Gaming54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d4b…77d9backed Xtreme Gaming36c365.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1433845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed PARIVISION28c353.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.576963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59e8…b8f7backed Xtreme Gaming78c348.4$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.993461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Xtreme Gaming69c334.9$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7113946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming50c327.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION76c325.02$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6535370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming71c284.78$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9515852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Xtreme Gaming59c255.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.633426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e3…e46dbacked Xtreme Gaming43c249.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.53826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba3…9cabbacked Xtreme Gaming50c239.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming44c234$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1663032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming9c231.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Xtreme Gaming77c228.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.266261.3%38 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b37…fcd6backed Xtreme Gaming9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed Xtreme Gaming9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed PARIVISION71c192.28$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.845962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked PARIVISION41c190$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.88748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed PARIVISION20c183.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6710945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Xtreme Gaming27c182.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked PARIVISION37c175$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Xtreme Gaming71c161$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.035549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5304…13e8backed Xtreme Gaming19c157.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked PARIVISION50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707162%44 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e06…5a9bbacked Xtreme Gaming67c137.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.341942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked PARIVISION51c137.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3413238.6%51 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f40…66aabacked Xtreme Gaming65c130.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.431233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked PARIVISION32c125.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4511945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb818…e50abacked Xtreme Gaming67c124.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.38850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Xtreme Gaming22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9720530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Xtreme Gaming51c114.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5212965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8f…d7e3backed PARIVISION52c110.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.981070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1d5…b5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming23c108.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.