TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION61c12,668$7,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.4153451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION67c11,643$7,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.7141055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Xtreme Gaming51c10,648$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.562766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION54c7,001$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.1912256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Xtreme Gaming23c6,862$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.2614515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming27c6,441$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.4410048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming39c6,055$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.061,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed PARIVISION49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0601163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming40c5,377$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.5589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming34c5,016$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.0934146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf85…1681backed Xtreme Gaming7c4,500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming47c4,285$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.9522848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION54c3,986$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.2415946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION59c3,434$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.0210451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming52c3,158$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.4613850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming48c3,126$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5caa…c71cbacked Xtreme Gaming4c2,767$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION49c2,733$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.838258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming50c2,685$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.455751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed PARIVISION78c2,636$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.536261.3%38 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming23c2,056$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.3573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed PARIVISION49c2,017$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.887549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION48c1,775$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0239936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked PARIVISION50c1,674$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION49c1,167$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming27c1,100$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9922033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Xtreme Gaming41c939.22$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.582759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Xtreme Gaming3c894.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.82879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Xtreme Gaming40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed Xtreme Gaming38c738.29$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Xtreme Gaming52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3648046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION68c697.98$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.88239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Xtreme Gaming44c689.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked PARIVISION50c611.76$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.887162%44 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming38c527.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3853844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c6…54cbbacked Xtreme Gaming6c500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315246.2%24 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+38.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming51c499.61$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548661.6%53 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION49c419.61$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21449133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Xtreme Gaming28c417.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed PARIVISION62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15227548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Xtreme Gaming37c399.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Xtreme Gaming52c386.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed PARIVISION51c327.45$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4510945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION60c319.58$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8355251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming46c309.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2585851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming50c294.76$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Xtreme Gaming50c285.69$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14417342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming44c279.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed PARIVISION49c267$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1729245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c7…133dbacked Xtreme Gaming8c250$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611447.4%54 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Xtreme Gaming40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x791b…029ebacked Xtreme Gaming47c214.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Xtreme Gaming29c209.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9120361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming39c208.21$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.254445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10234154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Xtreme Gaming15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed PARIVISION63c199.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.995962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Xtreme Gaming21c190.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked Xtreme Gaming45c177.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.115635.7%20 W · 36 L-10.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8080742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6634…8bf2backed Xtreme Gaming21c152.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked PARIVISION67c152.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.513238.6%51 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed PARIVISION66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.527460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked PARIVISION66c151.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1812455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…4a71backed Xtreme Gaming12c149.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming21c149.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.861,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Xtreme Gaming39c143.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567936.7%29 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9041…2cf2backed Xtreme Gaming45c142.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…e506backed Xtreme Gaming8c141.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed PARIVISION52c124.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.914254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.663032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa824…121bbacked PARIVISION50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ad…0e14backed Xtreme Gaming39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Xtreme Gaming30c100.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed PARIVISION53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4714948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Xtreme Gaming31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114668.5%100 W · 46 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Xtreme Gaming19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fac…bdd8backed PARIVISION62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3813456%75 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Xtreme Gaming47c99.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9833945.1%153 W · 186 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Xtreme Gaming53c93.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019756.9%112 W · 85 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed PARIVISION49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.924026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a19…eb54backed PARIVISION63c87.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.085257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9381…cf19backed Xtreme Gaming36c82.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Xtreme Gaming33c79.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3833743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Xtreme Gaming47c75.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.474654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Xtreme Gaming34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.520530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked PARIVISION47c71.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7970236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Xtreme Gaming32c52.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed PARIVISION58c50.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.219555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41fc…debbbacked Xtreme Gaming38c49.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e9…d882backed Xtreme Gaming36c48.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked PARIVISION65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1511945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Xtreme Gaming33c44.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Xtreme Gaming39c41.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed PARIVISION66c40.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8613946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Xtreme Gaming37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511943.7%52 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…bb07backed Xtreme Gaming45c37.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.