TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes24c46,193$11,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,175.611,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed No73c26,517$19,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,167.159329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No65c19,242$12,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,718.7381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Yes35c16,556$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.824949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes24c16,359$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.1729851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed No73c16,336$11,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,365.6525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes26c13,047$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No68c13,032$8,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,168.7323355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed Yes28c10,852$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.887349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes22c10,000$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.3857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef58…7b1bbacked Yes34c8,821$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No75c7,855$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.416449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed No66c7,555$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Yes33c6,841$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.0461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed No68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Yes36c5,042$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.7510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No80c4,855$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.7160147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No73c4,021$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.4383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9919834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Yes34c3,781$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.022040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No67c3,500$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1559343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes24c3,400$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.9713353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No68c3,105$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.839861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed No65c3,031$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9413954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…5ca1backed Yes31c2,932$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Yes35c2,917$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0323633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes31c2,843$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.2827530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes8c2,787$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.571717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Yes25c2,783$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.375341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes27c2,678$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4812351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes25c2,574$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No74c2,380$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.312060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe321…bc47backed Yes33c2,219$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.614843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes33c2,064$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.121850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes29c2,038$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.8225934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes24c1,990$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.958446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No69c1,934$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes33c1,890$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.4815747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed No69c1,843$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.36847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…6dffbacked No73c1,786$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce5…306fbacked No67c1,730$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e0…6567backed Yes33c1,612$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebd…e313backed No67c1,612$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…771bbacked Yes33c1,612$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591e…4fb1backed No67c1,612$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2608…a299backed No67c1,612$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a079backed Yes33c1,612$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc9…5cbdbacked Yes33c1,612$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ea…9e8dbacked Yes33c1,612$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…cb76backed No67c1,612$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e98…11edbacked No67c1,612$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9b…b0a6backed No67c1,547$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd8…6064backed Yes33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4963…9357backed Yes33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…a7a9backed Yes33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50b…a525backed Yes33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf831…e9b2backed No67c1,547$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b0…b801backed Yes33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb108…dee6backed No67c1,547$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccaf…0a29backed No67c1,547$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05f…0267backed No67c1,547$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked No65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.694942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d1…9c40backed Yes33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca49…081dbacked Yes33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d30…ced4backed Yes33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5621…9c70backed No67c1,538$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13af…1b16backed No67c1,538$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…af1dbacked No67c1,538$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8c…90c3backed Yes33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48b…59f1backed No67c1,538$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff8…72d0backed Yes33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…67fbbacked No67c1,538$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b50…c9c2backed No67c1,534$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a87…d9e5backed No67c1,534$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5892…f672backed Yes33c1,534$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…122fbacked No67c1,534$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0e…619abacked Yes33c1,534$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c9…8407backed Yes33c1,534$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12c…cb6ebacked No67c1,534$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab1…3437backed Yes33c1,534$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…0ff6backed Yes33c1,534$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9b…2923backed No67c1,534$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a7…ebf1backed No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb578…f5bfbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ac…fc03backed No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb31…445dbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…72cdbacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9e…0179backed No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…2bfcbacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b7…19e6backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85cd…bf2abacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9914239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No75c1,482$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7342142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…7846backed Yes33c1,475$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Yes24c1,441$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.96535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Yes35c1,440$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…acdcbacked No71c1,404$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x177c…b86ebacked Yes2c1,369$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.