TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes21c30,589$6,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,556.041,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes19c12,427$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.0929851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd305…4e8bbacked Yes14c8,720$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.441136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes13c4,000$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.441,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes20c3,754$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.657647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes13c3,419$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.091717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes13c2,486$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6342142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes15c2,154$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.624242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes17c2,117$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes14c2,108$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No79c2,063$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes17c2,000$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.585,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes16c1,963$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6825934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Yes15c1,909$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8410252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes14c1,763$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e42…5856backed Yes17c1,651$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.458929.2%26 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,547$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.171,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No80c1,520$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.742060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes23c1,283$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.094862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes24c1,271$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes17c1,252$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.552020%4 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes22c1,229$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7313353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Yes21c1,156$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.678042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d4…e535backed Yes16c1,030$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.73441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5762…336cbacked Yes15c969.76$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes12c725.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d60…59bbbacked Yes15c704.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.98548.2%41 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…68bebacked No77c675.4$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…276fbacked Yes18c619.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed Yes21c575.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217429.7%22 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60c1…e1c8backed Yes20c559.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41e…2966backed Yes21c553.71$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes15c551.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9815747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…a0b7backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511732.5%38 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ae…c9ffbacked Yes13c472.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaccf…a244backed Yes21c470.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c467.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5231735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa326…26a4backed Yes22c464.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked No76c455.17$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.248852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes13c455.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2721139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5230…0d3bbacked Yes18c418.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcb…84f6backed Yes24c418.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Yes24c400.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2723…d384backed Yes12c400.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.894656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes12c399.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.751,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed No79c379.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.822560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes13c363.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2829547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No79c323.24$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes9c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.519423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes13c299.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Yes15c290.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1411440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes17c259.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9712351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2255…65d8backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8025…f2e1backed Yes14c232.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes21c219.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes21c206$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2624935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x848f…59b1backed Yes20c205.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…f042backed Yes24c205.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes19c199.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3863345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a83…601cbacked Yes15c194.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes15c191$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6522554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf549…2ecbbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes14c166.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes21c149.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes12c140.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes22c138.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d9b…20debacked Yes14c138.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28fb…9490backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes12c125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.524249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…63aebacked Yes13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…08a7backed Yes17c119.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes18c113.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Yes15c113.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9828344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6200…04cfbacked Yes18c112.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes15c107.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.043930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ea…f25fbacked Yes19c107.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65e…3e11backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2004…1c89backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c0…d8bebacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ef…252ebacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No79c98.85$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7612152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No77c76.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes22c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.412540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d7…9f96backed Yes18c67.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3b…c576backed Yes19c63.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed Yes17c60.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f9…1f57backed Yes18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x883b…82c6backed Yes18c55.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.043941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c50.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9978backed Yes24c46.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0892…48d8backed No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6715…eb49backed No78c27.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.