CS2 · resolved market

Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20410e51d1639ddfc0e0a9c8518c20b0a6f44a5b398618c2bb4443aa9d30f561

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $235,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $166,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,567 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes	3c	28,007$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.89	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes	5c	11,160$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.19	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	-7.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed Yes	4c	7,453$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5166…f454backed Yes	3c	6,335$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.58	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-77%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes	11c	6,210$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.52	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	6,082$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.7	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	2c	5,249$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.17	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0165…2281backed Yes	2c	4,441$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.15	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	7c	4,225$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.2	259	34%88 W · 171 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14d4…e535backed Yes	3c	4,117$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.9	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	2c	4,055$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.35	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes	1c	3,889$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	123	28.5%35 W · 88 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e25…ad7fbacked Yes	1c	3,815$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.48	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	3,811$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.32	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	3c	3,447$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.89	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Yes	6c	3,366$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.26	169	50.9%86 W · 83 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No	79c	3,000$2,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.99	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	5c	2,490$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	786	39.4%310 W · 476 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…f8eabacked Yes	21c	2,394$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes	3c	2,335$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes	3c	2,143$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.68	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x562f…38ccbacked Yes	10c	2,014$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfa…1047backed Yes	5c	1,898$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…50e8backed Yes	20c	1,797$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.47	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6c…f152backed Yes	4c	1,775$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.76	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes	21c	1,764$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.83	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd03…af6bbacked Yes	1c	1,713$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	4c	1,700$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.31	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes	26c	1,698$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.17	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3145…44c8backed Yes	3c	1,584$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes	19c	1,579$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.7	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Yes	8c	1,549$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.08	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb990…1a3abacked Yes	3c	1,520$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	83	12%10 W · 73 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2499…3fefbacked Yes	10c	1,501$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes	1c	1,500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes	2c	1,500$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	660	34.1%225 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd152…a754backed Yes	33c	1,371$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	4c	1,232$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…c192backed Yes	18c	1,210$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…1330backed Yes	19c	1,210$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	4c	1,200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	239	32.2%77 W · 162 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb886…53bebacked Yes	1c	1,200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b8…f08dbacked Yes	1c	1,200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	79c	1,135$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.79	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Yes	11c	1,123$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.06	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0321…bbfabacked Yes	14c	1,120$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.02	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb090…6873backed Yes	20c	1,100$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5230…0d3bbacked Yes	8c	1,024$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes	10c	1,015$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.77	365	54.8%200 W · 165 L	+23.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Yes	3c	1,014$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.61	364	37.4%136 W · 228 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	1,001$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	597	3%18 W · 579 L	-221.0wins	-0.37per pick	40cpaid	-90.7%equal weight	11-0.36 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Yes	7c	914.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb42…ebebbacked Yes	3c	876.31$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No	80c	872.16$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.48	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes	2c	776.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee86…07d8backed Yes	12c	762.28$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.16	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes	21c	762.27$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.33	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f2…0193backed Yes	2c	753.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa4…7270backed Yes	3c	741.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f3…7198backed Yes	11c	674.09$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.78	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	8c	665.65$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.51	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x990b…c30ebacked Yes	6c	649.26$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a83…601cbacked Yes	5c	622.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…3a31backed No	80c	600$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Yes	5c	599.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5d…890cbacked Yes	7c	590.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d5…5232backed Yes	4c	568.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…7005backed Yes	4c	539.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+6.2wins	+0.24per pick	45cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Yes	19c	500$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes	20c	493.54$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4099…66efbacked Yes	20c	487.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf085…fe9cbacked Yes	16c	486.73$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.3	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes	21c	476.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154c…94d6backed Yes	3c	475.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…c3a5backed Yes	21c	472.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x105a…50ddbacked Yes	21c	472.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Yes	23c	466.42$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.4	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yes	20c	466.14$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.22	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed Yes	4c	444.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	12c	440.84$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes	6c	435.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fe…9c01backed Yes	31c	410.85$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	4c	387.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb28…c82fbacked Yes	19c	382.56$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.66	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes	5c	365.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	172	36.6%63 W · 109 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab35…60f6backed Yes	3c	349.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x455d…89d6backed Yes	6c	318.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0f…7574backed Yes	3c	318.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	+11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb625…7f8abacked Yes	4c	311.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…8484backed Yes	8c	308.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	31c	300$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…fe42backed Yes	7c	290.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	280.04$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.96	317	35.6%113 W · 204 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Yes	20c	269.21$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.77	537	46.2%248 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d60…59bbbacked Yes	6c	256$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	85	48.2%41 W · 44 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91f…e493backed No	80c	250.68$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fb…5dd9backed Yes	20c	245.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…232abacked Yes	21c	241.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event