TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d60…59bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT8548.2%41 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$14
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$16.53
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.63
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+488.2%+$65.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.77
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+50%+$50.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$59.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33.35
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+343.4%+$37.95
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.