CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20dde9ca3797374fc1c786ad3c8f83c3384de35c31eb08bf95012add9d969d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof FURIA, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,538,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,960,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Vitality | 54c | 370,020$199,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,209.33 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FURIA | 33c | 369,601$122,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,470.3 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Vitality | 54c | 228,921$123,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,423.67 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Vitality | 62c | 214,786$133,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,365.97 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FURIA | 33c | 179,555$59,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,683.51 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Vitality | 66c | 154,493$102,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,794.85 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA | 46c | 147,905$68,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,454.9 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA | 39c | 103,078$40,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,494.11 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA | 40c | 98,753$39,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,320.42 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…b42cbacked FURIA | 34c | 65,579$22,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,218.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 48c | 64,218$30,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,788.81 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Vitality | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed FURIA | 49c | 60,000$29,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,299.98 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed FURIA | 17c | 55,092$9,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,561.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Vitality | 53c | 46,732$24,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,779.52 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FURIA | 32c | 36,600$11,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,878 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA | 34c | 35,294$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Vitality | 66c | 34,648$22,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,780.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed FURIA | 47c | 30,373$14,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,275.31 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.98 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Vitality | 67c | 29,050$19,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.5 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FURIA | 46c | 28,440$13,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,120.4 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Vitality | 54c | 27,877$14,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,957.31 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Vitality | 54c | 27,628$14,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,652.51 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Vitality | 60c | 26,993$16,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,737.24 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FURIA | 41c | 25,555$10,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,373.72 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…0494backed Vitality | 66c | 24,000$15,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality | 52c | 23,506$12,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,327.43 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed FURIA | 33c | 21,967$7,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,245.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FURIA | 16c | 21,662$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.9 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA | 21c | 21,489$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.45 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked FURIA | 47c | 21,417$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA | 31c | 20,683$6,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,392.23 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked FURIA | 29c | 20,208$5,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed FURIA | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.97 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality | 66c | 19,857$13,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.11 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Vitality | 75c | 18,367$13,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 63c | 17,500$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed FURIA | 32c | 16,500$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 61c | 15,882$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.35 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed FURIA | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Vitality | 66c | 14,934$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.51 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality | 79c | 14,841$11,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.08 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 34c | 14,830$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.17 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Vitality | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…5baebacked Vitality | 68c | 14,599$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.32 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Vitality | 63c | 14,508$9,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.72 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked FURIA | 35c | 13,763$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA | 43c | 13,600$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vitality | 78c | 13,554$10,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.58 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 32c | 13,426$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed FURIA | 34c | 13,238$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA | 24c | 13,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Vitality | 67c | 13,000$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.99 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitality | 66c | 12,946$8,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.15 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Vitality | 72c | 11,491$8,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.13 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed FURIA | 34c | 11,148$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…61f9backed FURIA | 33c | 11,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA | 39c | 10,085$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.72 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…780bbacked FURIA | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FURIA | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Vitality | 53c | 9,430$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked FURIA | 1c | 8,987$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality | 68c | 8,940$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.86 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA | 33c | 8,812$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed FURIA | 46c | 8,679$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Vitality | 67c | 8,207$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vitality | 68c | 8,182$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.54 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed FURIA | 46c | 7,798$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Vitality | 61c | 7,671$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality | 70c | 7,667$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Vitality | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Vitality | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 55c | 7,366$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.07 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…88aebacked FURIA | 33c | 7,341$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Vitality | 69c | 7,101$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked FURIA | 47c | 6,675$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.8 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA | 14c | 6,666$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed FURIA | 26c | 6,606$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.24 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FURIA | 34c | 6,485$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.76 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed FURIA | 30c | 6,400$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…91c6backed Vitality | 77c | 6,097$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FURIA | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed FURIA | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality | 67c | 5,555$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.15 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked FURIA | 40c | 5,290$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.53 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed FURIA | 25c | 5,236$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.16 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Vitality | 73c | 5,204$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Vitality | 65c | 5,161$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.9 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed FURIA | 14c | 5,009$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Vitality | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked FURIA | 46c | 4,996$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.01 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed FURIA | 22c | 4,745$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.78 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 71c | 4,680$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.51 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked FURIA | 35c | 4,646$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 65c | 4,642$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.54 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Vitality | 61c | 4,609$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed FURIA | 32c | 4,513$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…617ebacked Vitality | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.