CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c25354007cdbd0d77fb5acf7b6b5bb4b1ece899628e727347078df4d0260bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Under | 25c | 666.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 27c | 662.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 25c | 561.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 125 | 68.8%86 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 73c | 313.41$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Over | 75c | 298.21$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 6c | 274.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Over | 74c | 267.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…7214backed Over | 75c | 233.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked Under | 26c | 228.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Over | 75c | 224.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 65c | 202.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 27c | 197.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…1dc8backed Over | 75c | 113.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 25c | 100.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 75c | 80.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…b77ebacked Over | 75c | 74.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Under | 42c | 72.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 68.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 72c | 67.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 71c | 61.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…66b4backed Under | 25c | 60.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…ac4dbacked Over | 75c | 56.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 74c | 49.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 69c | 46.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…3cf9backed Over | 75c | 46.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…93adbacked Over | 75c | 27.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.