CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7198511be52983b8808c8a1cc5db39aa411053d2432ced15dd86d7e7bbde53d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof FURIA, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked FURIA | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Vitality | 71c | 29,874$21,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,663.45 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Vitality | 68c | 18,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.25 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA | 32c | 12,740$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.06 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed FURIA | 22c | 9,020$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.06 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FURIA | 35c | 7,741$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.16 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA | 29c | 6,599$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Vitality | 70c | 5,633$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.94 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FURIA | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 80c | 2,090$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…0a7cbacked FURIA | 16c | 1,231$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed FURIA | 48c | 1,219$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.3 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed FURIA | 22c | 1,213$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…19a3backed FURIA | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed FURIA | 28c | 1,197$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed FURIA | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Vitality | 75c | 1,035$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked FURIA | 27c | 859$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Vitality | 79c | 831.23$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.47 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…594fbacked FURIA | 32c | 775.54$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed FURIA | 37c | 751.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…f3cfbacked FURIA | 16c | 723.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed FURIA | 43c | 704.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed FURIA | 19c | 590.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed FURIA | 28c | 540$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…5ff1backed Vitality | 70c | 515.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Vitality | 79c | 499.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…df59backed FURIA | 10c | 497.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Vitality | 65c | 461.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed Vitality | 73c | 409.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA | 21c | 358.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked FURIA | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked FURIA | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Vitality | 75c | 311$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Vitality | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed FURIA | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 78c | 291.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Vitality | 71c | 287.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed FURIA | 30c | 281.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…8dbabacked FURIA | 20c | 267.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…2ad1backed FURIA | 26c | 260$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Vitality | 78c | 256.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…e673backed FURIA | 24c | 248.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…9e2abacked FURIA | 31c | 243.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…86a7backed FURIA | 21c | 238.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed FURIA | 15c | 224.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Vitality | 66c | 220.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed FURIA | 29c | 219.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA | 30c | 215.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b0…dd13backed Vitality | 69c | 211.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed FURIA | 38c | 210.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Vitality | 73c | 209.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked FURIA | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed FURIA | 30c | 207.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Vitality | 75c | 200.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed FURIA | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked FURIA | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed FURIA | 15c | 199.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed FURIA | 29c | 186.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…6e95backed FURIA | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed FURIA | 29c | 171.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Vitality | 62c | 164.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Vitality | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…b87fbacked FURIA | 35c | 157.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed FURIA | 27c | 153$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FURIA | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Vitality | 74c | 149.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed FURIA | 34c | 148.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…81efbacked FURIA | 33c | 147.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Vitality | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Vitality | 71c | 141.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked FURIA | 29c | 141.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked FURIA | 35c | 138.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked FURIA | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked FURIA | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…9c78backed Vitality | 70c | 128.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…91d5backed FURIA | 24c | 126.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…5100backed Vitality | 65c | 123.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…9d09backed FURIA | 21c | 119.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…93adbacked FURIA | 26c | 117.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…3213backed Vitality | 71c | 115.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed FURIA | 26c | 112.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7046…12bcbacked Vitality | 52c | 112.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked FURIA | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked FURIA | 48c | 105.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…aed6backed FURIA | 12c | 104.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked FURIA | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed FURIA | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed FURIA | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed FURIA | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…eb63backed FURIA | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed FURIA | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed FURIA | 27c | 99.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed FURIA | 22c | 94.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Vitality | 76c | 91.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FURIA | 32c | 88.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…ca73backed FURIA | 29c | 86.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.