TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Vitality49c40,307$19,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,552.765641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA33c32,507$10,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,654.7281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Vitality70c28,509$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,508.5712649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA51c28,251$14,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,408.4683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA52c6,166$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.5971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked FURIA51c3,991$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.5620539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed FURIA53c3,537$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.3725845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality46c3,310$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.7981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Vitality65c2,507$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7212648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9718752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked FURIA38c1,807$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.289941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA53c1,480$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.3955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked Vitality70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.825246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality49c1,306$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed FURIA51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.28751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked FURIA51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51012145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed FURIA54c1,000$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.299442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Vitality49c946.62$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.363737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality47c888$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…92cfbacked FURIA35c713.43$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.46456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Vitality49c707.96$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0634146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Vitality49c530.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6154732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Vitality46c497.73$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Vitality48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0411343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed FURIA54c449.97$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9817347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Vitality49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.169834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed FURIA31c399.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12415743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Vitality69c391.76$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7615162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA33c391.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.474,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked FURIA54c388.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8865662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed FURIA52c378.38$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.763647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked FURIA51c368.37$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8710442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vitality48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1825,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Vitality49c342.61$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7311636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed FURIA35c316.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7613043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dff…7babbacked Vitality49c274.8$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Vitality46c273.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9113246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18f…41eabacked Vitality47c267.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Vitality47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.848242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed FURIA39c256.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Vitality49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.545244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked Vitality47c238.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3410158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed Vitality48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Vitality49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Vitality49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0825252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed FURIA31c186.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.217944.1%79 W · 100 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked FURIA54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Vitality64c179.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.612458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed FURIA32c168.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6511344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Vitality60c156.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6114544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Vitality46c155.44$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8610851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Vitality69c152.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.179364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Vitality48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.427735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8244…3f2cbacked Vitality50c108.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.79850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173d…8091backed Vitality47c100.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.024942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed FURIA35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff7…17aabacked FURIA52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…5bbfbacked FURIA55c99.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.479844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed FURIA54c74.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b82…1483backed Vitality49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.436048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FURIA31c63.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Vitality47c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.331181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.40per pick42cpaid+95.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Vitality71c57.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8721460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed FURIA52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Vitality49c55.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.14341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…36f3backed Vitality47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.194158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked FURIA37c51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8710438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed FURIA30c46.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0133048.8%161 W · 169 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed FURIA41c45.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.578842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Vitality49c45.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Vitality48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6746042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked Vitality49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824161%25 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality66c38.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed FURIA53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked FURIA54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9fa…cecfbacked Vitality46c35.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.297552%39 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Vitality48c34.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.651,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked FURIA53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked FURIA35c31.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9211037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Vitality47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.823354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.634742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Vitality67c29.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6720251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked FURIA53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cee…1ac0backed FURIA54c24.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Vitality68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3655749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Vitality67c19.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4338868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…ebfabacked Vitality70c14.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.