TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes15c16,379$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.9429851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Yes29c12,889$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.8327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e25…ad7fbacked Yes13c11,800$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.691513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes9c9,546$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.371,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes11c6,798$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.371,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked No73c4,038$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.4913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes24c3,297$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.946142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2d…d956backed Yes14c3,269$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.693040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes10c2,858$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.856613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c1a…7871backed Yes29c2,716$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes8c2,082$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4485…037bbacked Yes10c2,027$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.71728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes21c1,953$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.131735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Yes17c1,800$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30675245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes23c1,681$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.911044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes20c1,676$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.3615747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No77c1,604$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes21c1,535$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.131717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0138…044bbacked Yes9c1,500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Yes10c1,370$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0165…2281backed Yes15c1,364$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.152737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25b…e383backed Yes13c1,281$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…50e8backed Yes14c1,276$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.25850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes14c1,249$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9125934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes8c1,133$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…3282backed Yes26c1,130$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.82333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes10c1,006$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0212328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x888a…ef47backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked Yes12c903.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No75c844.52$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.464560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes17c797$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes10c781.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2157647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c708.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9931735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes11c699.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes17c661.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.411,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes16c630$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.858254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No74c598.71$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb090…6873backed Yes30c596.78$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.03540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ed…b788backed No72c550$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd916…e9f3backed Yes17c537.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb192…6d56backed Yes21c533.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Yes19c519.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b8…c393backed Yes15c518.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes30c496.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.099343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaccf…a244backed Yes11c469.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854c…01e2backed Yes15c466.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.012425%6 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes27c440.84$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.614142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes24c412.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7112152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes21c400$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.457538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes9c399.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes16c384.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.871850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2004…1c89backed Yes8c377.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba44…aedebacked Yes17c343.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87eb…c00cbacked Yes12c336.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+64.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes18c332.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.732020%4 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Yes14c327.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8de…f9e2backed Yes15c326.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff37…6306backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes18c322.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2821139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes29c320.17$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.998643%37 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb33…ba6abacked Yes18c314.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes26c307.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.843231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked Yes10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2926535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…fff3backed Yes19c267.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x109f…1691backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Yes19c264.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa4…7270backed Yes10c264.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5270%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…abf5backed No75c258.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes11c256.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4621042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadee…7719backed Yes15c255.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.517849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No71c242.95$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No73c231.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes9c228.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes10c223.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3944648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebd…42eabacked Yes15c212.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d3…0c7fbacked Yes25c203.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…938fbacked Yes37c201.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes11c199.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes20c198.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf549…2ecbbacked Yes18c196.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Yes30c190$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x390d…777cbacked Yes9c185$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yes21c184.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes14c174.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes24c172.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.925973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes33c171.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ea…f25fbacked Yes12c168.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x637a…8056backed Yes19c162.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68b7…c0bcbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd305…4e8bbacked Yes11c152.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.