TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6715…eb49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$85.5
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.62
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+79%+$42.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+123.6%+$69.09
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58.98
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.42
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43.5%+$5.46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+64.7%+$8.64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+93.1%+$11.09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.9%+$12.69
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+183.9%+$58.13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+57.8%+$23.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$78.03
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$37.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33.53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+67%+$242.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+326.9%+$41.04
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$124.34
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$61.82
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.36
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+84%+$24.19
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.4%+$27.36
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+38.5%+$8.34
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+67%+$26.07
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+54.6%+$91.36
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.44
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$16.47
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.59
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.79
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.38
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,017%+$146.59
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,486.9%+$156.8
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.28
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$294
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+106.2%+$12.36
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$4.8
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.2
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.83
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37.3%+$58.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.3%+$33.55
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.76
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.6%+$9.74
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+145.9%+$21.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.8%+$5.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.8%+$44.6
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+45.6%+$5.64
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.68
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-54.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.9%+$13.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.04
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$234.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$7.8
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$62.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+45.5%+$7.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+50%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.