Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774c912a1bc4ac49a2416bcd09ffd45e89021f55f82277af6fc6faf765c6616a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,103,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,231,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 57c | 398,354$228,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,395.23 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 44c | 237,226$103,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,256.81 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Yes | 57c | 150,000$85,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 40c | 92,067$36,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,892.04 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 38c | 54,828$20,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,668.75 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 60c | 48,990$29,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,746.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 43c | 48,250$20,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,881.97 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 39,897$17,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,953.78 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 42c | 38,888$16,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,221.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 44c | 37,155$16,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,348.09 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 43c | 33,466$14,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,442.03 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 56c | 32,515$18,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,306.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 55c | 26,055$14,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,724.75 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 57c | 25,485$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,942.06 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 23,533$9,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,744.25 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 42c | 23,518$9,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,812.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 42c | 16,000$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 26c | 12,039$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 38c | 9,151$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.36 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 43c | 8,825$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.32 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 8,543$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.71 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 42c | 8,135$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.23 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 59c | 7,902$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.69 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 41c | 6,650$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 6,275$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.38 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 43c | 6,000$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 43c | 5,019$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.75 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 69c | 4,972$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.08 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 41c | 4,378$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.21 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 28c | 3,947$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.48 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 3,833$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.15 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 55c | 3,261$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 10c | 2,950$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,672$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.64 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 2,584$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 2,513$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 44c | 2,500$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked No | 30c | 2,482$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 42c | 2,450$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.45 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 43c | 2,430$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.9 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 23c | 2,411$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.16 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 42c | 2,402$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 41c | 2,400$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 43c | 2,293$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 2,017$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 33c | 2,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 45c | 1,801$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 44c | 1,700$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…22b6backed Yes | 55c | 1,673$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…9454backed Yes | 56c | 1,634$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 37c | 1,620$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 5c | 1,562$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 59c | 1,524$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 42c | 1,314$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.91 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 38c | 1,294$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…3705backed Yes | 77c | 1,220$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 3c | 1,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 45c | 1,067$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 57c | 1,062$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 57c | 1,025$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.56 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 932.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 41c | 918$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 831.96$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.34 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 29c | 808.28$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 61c | 786.03$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.55 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 69c | 768.02$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 765.66$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 77c | 764.09$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 760$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 36c | 749.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 55c | 722.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 715.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed Yes | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 43c | 700$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 60c | 660.33$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 58c | 637.71$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 3c | 628.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 55c | 618$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 39c | 602.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 55c | 580.84$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 62c | 574.2$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 44c | 562.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 41c | 550$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 63c | 499.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.