Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624b7f6735f380fae2a05482167c101dc675f080120398cdfa8a9996d8a804c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 19c | 13,158$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 11,796$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 21c | 10,312$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.4 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 80c | 6,078$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.65 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 6,053$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.92 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 20c | 5,096$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,008$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.77 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 79c | 2,885$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.78 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 20c | 2,875$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 17c | 2,511$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.79 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 21c | 2,158$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.24 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yes | 22c | 2,039$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 21c | 1,800$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 5c | 1,690$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 1,650$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…b2d3backed Yes | 20c | 1,488$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 21c | 1,324$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…a51abacked Yes | 3c | 1,292$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 17c | 1,250$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 1,139$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 77c | 1,100$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 20c | 1,091$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c51…133abacked Yes | 22c | 1,044$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,039$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 22c | 1,018$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…1fbdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,012$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 14c | 998.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…caf8backed Yes | 10c | 900.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed No | 80c | 878.25$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…e59ebacked Yes | 23c | 859.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…a945backed Yes | 6c | 839.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 9c | 800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…f1dabacked Yes | 14c | 725.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 79c | 708.86$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 17c | 683.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 636.38$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…5663backed No | 80c | 632$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 79c | 553.46$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed No | 79c | 513$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 481.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…b054backed Yes | 8c | 390.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 22c | 389.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 79c | 380.08$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 78c | 373.41$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 7c | 371.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 351.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 22c | 344$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 21c | 333.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 20c | 319.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 19c | 317.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…bfc9backed No | 78c | 314.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 78c | 307.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 20c | 299.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 22c | 288$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 78c | 288$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 21c | 286.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 79c | 282.83$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…1700backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 79c | 249.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 19c | 238.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…420cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…8f76backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…c0b2backed Yes | 22c | 224.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 224.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…d075backed Yes | 21c | 211.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 79c | 197.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…4415backed Yes | 22c | 191.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…3a5ebacked Yes | 21c | 189$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 177.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4298backed Yes | 22c | 170.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…ae8ebacked Yes | 14c | 166.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…97c0backed Yes | 21c | 159.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…2e83backed Yes | 16c | 153.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…58debacked Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.