Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ef94e2356aa6875931cb1ac7f2e9a9d01e1701698db38cd21e4f23bfa1095d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $949,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $527,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $949,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0983…9711backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	24,449$5,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,886.21	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	2c	23,801$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.05	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafcf…d662backed Yes	2c	20,800$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.8	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+46%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	18,975$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.72	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	24c	18,000$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	20c	11,198$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.25	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…2082backed Yes	10c	10,611$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.98	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	17c	9,113$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.94	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	9,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed Yes	6c	8,663$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.71	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	8,000$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.61	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Yes	18c	7,956$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,403.39	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	7,497$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.09	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	7,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	6,929$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.81	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	6,496$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.94	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	17c	6,441$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.78	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Yes	10c	4,431$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	79	16.5%13 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	4,253$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.36	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	15c	4,186$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	20c	4,164$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.69	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	3,969$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.22	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20fe…7968backed Yes	10c	3,502$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.55	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd423…10d3backed Yes	4c	3,336$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.17	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…5f1abacked Yes	20c	3,306$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…bac9backed Yes	21c	3,291$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cb…d0d5backed Yes	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231d…9e4ebacked No	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Yes	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.99	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b29…f712backed Yes	1c	2,852$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	+114.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	21c	2,723$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.1	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	18c	2,601$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.34	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	19c	2,502$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.52	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	23c	2,500$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.35	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	20c	2,378$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.23	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes	24c	2,303$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.32	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2af…c94bbacked Yes	13c	2,205$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	54	9.3%5 W · 49 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed No	77c	2,139$1,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.27	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad78…f5a5backed Yes	22c	2,023$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.29	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…2700backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	67	6%4 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf966…86e7backed Yes	3c	1,923$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,850$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	78c	1,825$1,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.53	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	1,804$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.51	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	6c	1,752$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.76	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aec…74fcbacked Yes	18c	1,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	4c	1,649$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.99	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	1,584$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.27	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea5…0750backed Yes	20c	1,523$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.24	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Yes	26c	1,520$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+85.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	21c	1,510$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.11	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	11c	1,500$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	7c	1,400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.1	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	14c	1,400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.96	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes	22c	1,398$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.56	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	1,392$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.11	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c0…6aa1backed Yes	24c	1,362$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.68	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…8718backed No	80c	1,323$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	13c	1,320$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.22	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeed…a865backed Yes	20c	1,293$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.65	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4f…18e1backed Yes	23c	1,279$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…f962backed Yes	20c	1,253$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	21c	1,251$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.86	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	2c	1,241$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.84	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed No	76c	1,231$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.15	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07bd…241bbacked Yes	23c	1,217$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdffa…1ea3backed Yes	22c	1,208$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4b…71f0backed Yes	23c	1,201$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec36…9ae3backed Yes	11c	1,200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,190$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Yes	29c	1,189$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	3c	1,172$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes	10c	1,157$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.06	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9f…0fc9backed Yes	22c	1,149$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.51	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	28c	1,145$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	2c	1,108$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	1,074$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8d…63c9backed Yes	24c	1,029$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.88	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…3fb6backed Yes	18c	1,023$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b5…5fefbacked Yes	21c	1,003$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Yes	2c	1,002$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	19c	1,001$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.13	89	9%8 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.82	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc08b…5226backed Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	12c	1,000$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3519…8012backed No	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7e…a908backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec34…d61ebacked Yes	15c	981.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	13c	977.44$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.6	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf50c…c902backed No	78c	970$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…3d42backed Yes	22c	970$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	44cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	22c	941.67$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.13	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	16c	940$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…47c2backed Yes	20c	939.5$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.9	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Yes	15c	927.61$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.98	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event