Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bccfd8762f1758ee7c3af100bc0ead8a0a5328277dc7e92b39b9e7584d4ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ef…4df2backed No | 74c | 3,035$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…e615backed Yes | 19c | 2,064$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…1c9cbacked No | 73c | 1,900$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…eb35backed Yes | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 47c | 1,754$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.75 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 67c | 1,624$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.33 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…852bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 23c | 870$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 24c | 705.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3bf5backed Yes | 51c | 663.86$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.05 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…ad30backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…78fcbacked No | 75c | 550$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 64c | 395.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…c8d6backed No | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 27c | 283.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Yes | 68c | 267.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 238.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 80c | 209.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 13c | 200.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…7b9cbacked Yes | 60c | 190.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed Yes | 41c | 177.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 169.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9039…d819backed Yes | 65c | 154.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 23c | 149.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 19c | 135.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 25c | 134.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 13c | 129.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 24c | 124.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…b1ffbacked Yes | 47c | 109.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 103.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 33c | 102.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 101.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 42c | 100.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…b5c4backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed No | 63c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…5997backed Yes | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 30c | 99.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…6fdcbacked Yes | 58c | 86.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 83.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed Yes | 54c | 80.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 23c | 75.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…b277backed No | 77c | 70.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 21c | 69.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Yes | 23c | 68.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…3853backed No | 74c | 67.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fa86backed No | 71c | 65.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 24c | 62.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03e…2365backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 48c | 59.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 53c | 58.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 57.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 29c | 54.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…ada6backed No | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked No | 47c | 52.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 22c | 49.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 61c | 49.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…a6a4backed No | 69c | 48.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 23c | 47.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…8e61backed Yes | 24c | 46.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…f08bbacked No | 59c | 45.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked Yes | 33c | 45.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 35c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…af4ebacked Yes | 80c | 38.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 28c | 38.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 28c | 35.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…1a42backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…34d5backed Yes | 45c | 28.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed No | 77c | 27.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…eb49backed No | 56c | 24.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…371ebacked Yes | 65c | 22.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 77c | 21.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed Yes | 53c | 20.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…b94cbacked No | 75c | 20.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 57c | 20.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…6732backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…40eabacked No | 75c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on February 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.