TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$788,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$800,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c207,664$81,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,426.8430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes38c112,455$42,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,993.962365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c89,361$56,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,170.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c58,463$36,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,192.9876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes41c50,000$20,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,402.477433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No60c46,523$28,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,455.1216331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c41,862$27,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,052.1135942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked No59c36,131$21,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,663.66540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No60c34,967$20,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,986.813441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No60c30,616$18,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,113.2612451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No60c28,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2006132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb802…5bbebacked Yes40c23,560$9,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,424.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No61c19,044$11,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,369.0521140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c16,567$10,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,558.3328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c14,477$8,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c10,882$6,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.117048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes36c10,823$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.145450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes40c10,076$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No60c10,035$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No61c10,029$6,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.431533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.979636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Yes39c9,317$3,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c8,698$5,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.5921444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c5…a4debacked No61c8,250$5,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked No63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc697…66c2backed Yes40c7,483$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No60c6,652$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.281963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No65c6,111$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.856238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Yes37c5,496$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.522748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c5,416$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.5729343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes35c5,365$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.2129232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed No64c5,360$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.111752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No65c5,284$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.8724732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes23c5,062$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.7334630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9508359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes39c4,810$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.433740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes36c3,800$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes39c3,720$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4509140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes35c3,530$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.635040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3658748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No60c3,315$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3266152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes31c3,087$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.17333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No66c3,035$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.446563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1105349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c2,927$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.51,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb7…3b83backed Yes38c2,734$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No63c2,600$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes36c2,584$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.622152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes39c2,555$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba3…4760backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed No62c2,487$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.133151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes31c2,445$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.122725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2a…6bfebacked No64c2,429$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d74…e6b2backed Yes38c2,258$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f1a…16a4backed No61c2,244$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes37c2,161$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No63c2,160$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No60c2,149$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.98960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked No61c2,132$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.461833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.995930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No61c1,965$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.0618738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xab81…249abacked Yes40c1,789$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.031540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes13c1,705$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9316833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Yes38c1,700$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked No62c1,700$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No61c1,700$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66329250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes36c1,697$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No60c1,667$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.324949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Yes39c1,657$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes37c1,604$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Yes40c1,561$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes39c1,330$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.822045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No61c1,295$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.781560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes39c1,288$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.752138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No65c1,250$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.55050%25 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No61c1,065$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.355149%25 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No61c1,004$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes34c1,000$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5463…f01dbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes37c985.43$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.616136.1%22 W · 39 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes39c976.61$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.111573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No63c954.6$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6414537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes37c924.68$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No62c879$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.137247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…3ef4backed Yes40c863.96$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes35c837.59$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.634344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes37c834.36$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.165334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3c…f712backed Yes37c817.97$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2969324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No57c799.49$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.413654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes24c753.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.78128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.