World Politics · resolved market
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef2335f4e3fc0bafe85a697893ae0be6958da0b21691d53c01a57d22f862abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6470…ea0abacked No | 0c | 27,816$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed No | 1c | 18,823$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 32c | 16,545$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.57 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 25c | 10,826$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.88 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…76debacked Yes | 74c | 9,969$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed No | 31c | 9,143$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 6,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 73c | 5,243$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.61 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…9ea4backed No | 32c | 5,197$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 57c | 4,933$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 4,425$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 4,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…6583backed Yes | 65c | 3,738$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 15c | 3,605$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.11 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…9e18backed No | 3c | 3,479$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 3,400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…669abacked No | 4c | 3,264$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…692cbacked No | 31c | 3,247$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 3,062$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 3,035$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 3,007$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 68c | 2,975$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…3500backed Yes | 75c | 2,942$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…6c1dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,903$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 24c | 2,877$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.7 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,866$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…811fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,843$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 71c | 2,800$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…2d5ebacked No | 28c | 2,789$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…5b50backed No | 4c | 2,662$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 2,455$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…3694backed No | 4c | 2,370$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…9929backed No | 6c | 2,353$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…dd13backed No | 4c | 2,301$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…fcdfbacked No | 4c | 2,286$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…efd9backed Yes | 68c | 2,266$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 2,200$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…a2a1backed Yes | 77c | 1,989$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,923$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,781$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.01 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,772$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…574fbacked No | 4c | 1,695$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 26c | 1,653$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.29 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 1,647$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 1,597$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…52a5backed No | 4c | 1,545$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…f9f0backed Yes | 64c | 1,540$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…f102backed No | 4c | 1,508$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 3c | 1,474$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…78bdbacked No | 4c | 1,453$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 2c | 1,382$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked No | 4c | 1,380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…8b74backed No | 4c | 1,371$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 2c | 1,359$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 1c | 1,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 1,286$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…7fefbacked Yes | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 1c | 1,282$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 2c | 1,273$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked No | 6c | 1,218$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…680dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,204$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 30c | 1,114$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 1,076$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 2c | 1,074$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…5704backed No | 4c | 1,068$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,060$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 1,036$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed No | 3c | 1,033$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed Yes | 71c | 1,010$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Yes | 68c | 995.52$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…0d1abacked No | 2c | 980.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…6d9dbacked No | 9c | 976.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 2c | 947.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…a15cbacked No | 16c | 916.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bb…0d1dbacked Yes | 66c | 915.58$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c25…2971backed Yes | 56c | 901.41$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 33c | 893.77$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…3318backed No | 4c | 850$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 834.16$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.41 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 66c | 833.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 825.16$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…7b6cbacked Yes | 71c | 799.99$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…1a9abacked Yes | 69c | 797.96$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…ef62backed No | 4c | 781$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…54c2backed No | 1c | 769.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…aeefbacked No | 4c | 753$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…a59bbacked No | 5c | 710.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…cae2backed Yes | 71c | 708.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…ba84backed No | 28c | 702$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked No | 3c | 700.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 6c | 641.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…1435backed No | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 76c | 612.82$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 607.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…4e1cbacked Yes | 50c | 600.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 72c | 600$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 25c | 567.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?this page
- Will Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.