World Politics · resolved market
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa292e43c34b10bbaec2364ae711239c3add74249340fb06e5796fccd618ba503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,237 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 50,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…cf6bbacked Yes | 20c | 8,864$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25f…2c3ebacked Yes | 18c | 5,116$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…7278backed Yes | 9c | 4,525$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…efd9backed No | 77c | 3,952$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,808$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…17c7backed No | 77c | 3,665$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed No | 79c | 3,288$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…8cfdbacked Yes | 30c | 3,091$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…823abacked Yes | 36c | 2,854$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 2,818$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…b391backed Yes | 22c | 2,639$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…9ea4backed Yes | 19c | 2,558$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 65c | 2,517$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.61 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…6d9dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 13c | 2,423$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 4c | 2,392$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b3e3backed No | 80c | 2,367$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,336$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f8…dfcbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,274$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…f9f0backed Yes | 23c | 2,157$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…65f2backed Yes | 25c | 1,988$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 1,760$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…89f6backed Yes | 28c | 1,754$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,715$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…a6d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,715$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 1,666$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.35 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,587$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 17c | 1,565$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…2beebacked Yes | 1c | 1,527$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…c30ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…d8e8backed Yes | 22c | 1,456$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…de5ebacked No | 71c | 1,452$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 73c | 1,452$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.83 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…8d9dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,370$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 34c | 1,340$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…ced2backed Yes | 1c | 1,303$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…7877backed Yes | 1c | 1,295$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +735.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,219$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 22c | 1,167$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…5a2bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,161$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 67c | 1,155$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.24 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…f67ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,136$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…2bdcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,133$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…3f3bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,114$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…69e4backed Yes | 29c | 1,001$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…8b74backed Yes | 30c | 977.87$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…1d41backed Yes | 18c | 965.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes | 19c | 954.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…9314backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 925.17$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…8adfbacked Yes | 3c | 884.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed No | 73c | 876.99$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…1612backed Yes | 18c | 874.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…df50backed Yes | 24c | 820.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 761.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa377…4eb3backed Yes | 26c | 729.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked No | 80c | 699.96$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…1159backed Yes | 17c | 679.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…b463backed Yes | 25c | 676.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 675.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…48edbacked Yes | 30c | 674.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…9b9abacked Yes | 5c | 654.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Yes | 31c | 646.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 642.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…8c0cbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…15e6backed Yes | 19c | 623.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…ba84backed Yes | 33c | 606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 596.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 23c | 594.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 588.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 35c | 581.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 19c | 539$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…db68backed Yes | 19c | 536.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 527.01$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…cfa5backed Yes | 19c | 517.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…8e32backed Yes | 23c | 510.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…cd92backed Yes | 29c | 509.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 75c | 509.4$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…585fbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…88c5backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 33c | 492.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…61a9backed No | 77c | 479.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…dfdfbacked No | 76c | 461.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 29c | 460.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…07f7backed Yes | 22c | 458$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 76c | 454.73$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…d906backed Yes | 5c | 454.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…51afbacked Yes | 23c | 449.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c9febacked Yes | 24c | 438.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…65b9backed Yes | 26c | 437.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…1484backed Yes | 23c | 434.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Yes | 23c | 434.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?this page
- Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes won
- Will Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
- Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.