Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ac57c930f95a3d059c3260c622732e0ea12dd025d9ca932f25f757432abb48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 22c | 29,017$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 25c | 16,103$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.46 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 12,778$9,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.4 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 76c | 11,732$8,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.41 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 65c | 9,817$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.66 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 5,229$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.85 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 4,942$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.74 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 36c | 4,483$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 3,153$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 25c | 2,785$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 2,035$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 11c | 1,877$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 77c | 1,846$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.41 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes | 71c | 1,501$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 77c | 1,501$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.14 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4193backed No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 32c | 1,481$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 27c | 1,251$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 1,147$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 1c | 1,030$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d32…004cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…483fbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 20c | 977.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 80c | 942.28$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 23c | 898.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 74c | 806.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed No | 4c | 791.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 11c | 725.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 76c | 578.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 575.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 574.92$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 571.07$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 76c | 534$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 28c | 530.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed No | 22c | 399.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 370$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b762backed Yes | 79c | 350$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 264.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 78c | 253$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…8272backed Yes | 78c | 249.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Yes | 64c | 226.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 23c | 224.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 26c | 205.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 56c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 28c | 188.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 28c | 181.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 28c | 179$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b6…3f65backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 35c | 149.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 78c | 128.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 69c | 124$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…07a9backed Yes | 67c | 122.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 77c | 115.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 16c | 112.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 76c | 112.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 27c | 110.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 76c | 96.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d856backed Yes | 76c | 93.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes | 77c | 78.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Yes | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 72c | 69.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…6deebacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 77c | 59.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Yes | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…ef75backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed No | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.