Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690d504367efdec61936e7dc1c572c1598281f3e91d30d3b6148f3f1f48642d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 9c | 70,800$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 35c | 57,690$20,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,434.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 66c | 28,586$18,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,729.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 24,930$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.88 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 27c | 14,717$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.55 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed No | 67c | 10,964$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 4c | 10,908$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes | 7c | 9,824$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 74c | 8,296$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 34c | 7,390$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,199$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 79c | 7,099$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…1afebacked Yes | 1c | 7,048$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 9c | 6,446$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.58 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 40c | 6,444$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.19 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Yes | 1c | 5,927$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 39c | 5,403$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 4c | 4,766$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 55c | 4,348$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.2 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked Yes | 39c | 4,050$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…e380backed No | 68c | 3,918$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…0909backed Yes | 32c | 3,832$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…4412backed No | 68c | 3,700$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…b558backed Yes | 32c | 3,547$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 4c | 3,412$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…aa89backed Yes | 46c | 3,397$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 3,320$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.44 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,292$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 32c | 3,183$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.93 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 29c | 2,986$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 41c | 2,955$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.59 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 34c | 2,874$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.04 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…8bf7backed No | 68c | 2,862$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…1f4ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,763$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,744$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,718$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 78c | 2,663$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.23 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…bbf0backed No | 72c | 2,606$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 33c | 2,522$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.6 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed Yes | 33c | 2,422$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,403$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.11 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 43c | 2,301$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 19c | 2,224$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.89 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 2c | 2,104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 29c | 2,092$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 68c | 2,056$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…b914backed Yes | 1c | 2,034$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 14c | 1,995$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 57c | 1,989$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.24 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,887$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,879$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…cbb2backed No | 68c | 1,876$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,839$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.89 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…1928backed Yes | 32c | 1,745$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,649$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 43c | 1,638$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 27c | 1,600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 74c | 1,588$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.54 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…e4d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,568$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 1,475$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…9e95backed Yes | 32c | 1,452$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,441$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,392$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,358$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,331$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,316$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Yes | 38c | 1,302$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 64c | 1,222$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…79eebacked Yes | 25c | 1,205$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 31c | 1,134$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Yes | 29c | 1,109$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…d3e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,072$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Yes | 40c | 1,067$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 8c | 1,050$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,033$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 25c | 1,032$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…06a1backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…5149backed No | 68c | 984.57$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 35c | 960$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 24c | 910.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 2c | 887.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 48c | 880.66$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 8c | 825.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…61a7backed Yes | 69c | 798.06$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 73c | 796.5$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 726.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 34c | 716.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 26c | 715.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +269.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…a8adbacked Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 2c | 689.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 69c | 682.61$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 650$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 645$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 43c | 644.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 25c | 634$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?this page
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes won
- Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
- Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
- Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.