Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a57495d16e7035c335dfb1e512b9851d49a2477b116dcc16fcfb2f3e05d4f51

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,800,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,190,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,800,994 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	7c	49,845$3,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,677.17	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	36c	43,104$15,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,447.53	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	0c	39,020$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.34	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes	13c	37,175$4,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,840.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b5…0f8cbacked Yes	2c	35,228$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.78	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	18c	25,258$4,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,631.59	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	8c	24,179$1,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895.25	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	2c	21,379$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.3	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2982…5a7cbacked Yes	19c	20,683$4,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,002.22	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x790e…989bbacked Yes	1c	18,877$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.06	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes	2c	18,237$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.06	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+413.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	16,857$2,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,795.62	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Yes	23c	16,315$3,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,744.91	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f20…1855backed Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c45…31c4backed Yes	2c	15,009$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.68	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	19c	14,387$2,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.28	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76a4…2770backed Yes	0c	14,146$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8f…dd80backed Yes	43c	13,726$5,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,841.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854e…8ad8backed Yes	0c	11,328$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7176…2f81backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-59%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	17c	9,860$1,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696.85	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	69c	8,782$6,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,710.82	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	1c	8,736$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.62	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23a…9e6fbacked Yes	0c	8,131$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	1cpaid	+395.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	3c	7,600$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.8	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	29c	7,500$2,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,145	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	23c	7,184$1,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,639	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	16c	7,043$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,142.81	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a30…f47dbacked Yes	32c	6,757$2,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.72	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	14c	6,751$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.77	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	0c	6,282$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	3c	6,016$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.92	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	5,760$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.65	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	39c	5,724$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250.41	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	5c	5,506$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.2	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	18c	5,481$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.36	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9be1…0ad2backed Yes	1c	5,455$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	70c	5,448$3,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,632	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	28c	5,428$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	19c	5,345$1,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,032.64	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Yes	1c	5,222$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a96…7508backed Yes	0c	5,100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6915…c8bbbacked Yes	0c	5,020$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64d2…3d8ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	65c	4,975$3,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,725.83	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	10c	4,898$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.39	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	13c	4,783$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.38	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb5…bd80backed Yes	0c	4,775$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	19c	4,759$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0654…fabdbacked Yes	32c	4,757$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.57	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf37d…3e14backed Yes	19c	4,742$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e3…63fbbacked Yes	0c	4,510$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f55…73b6backed Yes	43c	4,292$1,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,862.01	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…5d2dbacked Yes	10c	4,285$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.77	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…016dbacked Yes	0c	4,283$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+96.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	4,270$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ff…057cbacked Yes	0c	4,071$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,918$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	16c	3,745$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.84	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes	27c	3,680$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.37	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	78c	3,614$2,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.78	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	14c	3,500$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.3	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed No	57c	3,445$1,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.35	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af4…a4efbacked Yes	12c	3,427$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	3c	3,350$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…5a2abacked Yes	0c	3,215$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe828…5ceabacked No	78c	3,214$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.19	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked Yes	23c	3,167$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1cd…8bc0backed Yes	15c	3,146$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.87	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes	1c	3,100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	16c	3,054$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.42	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fed…d914backed Yes	22c	2,988$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.67	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	16c	2,944$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.52	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	22c	2,940$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.53	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	24c	2,922$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.24	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	17c	2,795$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.92	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	24c	2,771$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.62	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8422…a1ebbacked Yes	1c	2,712$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes	16c	2,660$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.2	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	27c	2,621$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.5	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	12c	2,610$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.95	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	6c	2,601$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.06	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…a2dbbacked Yes	1c	2,566$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…a3a4backed Yes	30c	2,559$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	77c	2,459$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.17	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25a7…a4c8backed Yes	53c	2,347$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.83	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	50c	2,283$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.27	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	63c	2,249$1,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.08	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes	10c	2,206$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.02	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	10c	2,153$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.95	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes	15c	2,132$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.8	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+9.2wins	+0.37per pick	11cpaid	+624.5%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	9c	2,100$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.12	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes	8c	2,074$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.83	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…f97bbacked Yes	2c	2,056$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fe…79f4backed Yes	1c	2,042$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382d…07d9backed Yes	33c	2,041$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes	23c	2,001$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes	6c	2,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event