TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01fe…79f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT9813.3%13 W · 85 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.7
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$53.33
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.9%+$18.68
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4112.2%5 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+1,774.4%+$230.67
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.85
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$134.9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+548.9%+$151.87
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$73.56
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43.1
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.32
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+289%+$305.79
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+270.4%+$41.37
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+104.3%+$25.03
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+130.6%+$35.79
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Islandersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+170.4%+$41.06
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.87
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+75.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+506.1%+$202.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.9%+$48.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+48%+$6.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+733.3%+$110
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$22.31
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+491.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+491.2%+$54.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+46.2%+$5.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$72.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.