Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x834898cd6738208cefeedaf4c8829ff8834e93084f709d3862f58b494bf1bdde

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Falconsof MOUZ, Team Falcons
Resolved: Dec 11, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,174 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ	31c	5,600$1,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.97	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed MOUZ	20c	5,001$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.65	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons	69c	4,559$3,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,413.3	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons	70c	3,711$2,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.39	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ	30c	3,402$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.66	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ	14c	3,178$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.67	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ	11c	3,123$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.1	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ	26c	2,966$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.98	738	41.7%308 W · 430 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ	13c	2,499$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.19	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked MOUZ	14c	1,985$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.15	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons	71c	1,708$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.96	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked MOUZ	12c	1,697$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.61	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	+150%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ	31c	1,653$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.43	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked MOUZ	37c	1,475$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.7	96	61.5%59 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed MOUZ	31c	1,450$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.5	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Team Falcons	70c	1,421$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.57	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Team Falcons	71c	1,295$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.02	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ	12c	1,210$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.02	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ	3c	1,177$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Team Falcons	69c	1,159$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.42	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Falcons	69c	1,159$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.42	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons	78c	1,134$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.14	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ	25c	1,130$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.42	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Falcons	69c	1,083$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.99	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabc7…0947backed MOUZ	32c	1,058$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked MOUZ	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f7…57adbacked Team Falcons	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked MOUZ	24c	970.49$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.54	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons	69c	965.88$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.42	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons	75c	960.01$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.92	364	42.3%154 W · 210 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked MOUZ	33c	910.13$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.82	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ	31c	897.58$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.25	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…3dabbacked MOUZ	29c	802$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3c…946cbacked MOUZ	31c	800$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6f…b384backed Team Falcons	68c	742$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Team Falcons	70c	711.56$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.56	46	78.3%36 W · 10 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5270…51e1backed MOUZ	31c	700$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ	30c	693.1$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.94	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcff2…9ef0backed MOUZ	32c	690$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons	72c	682$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.26	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ	29c	645.64$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.41	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ	16c	618.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ	17c	603.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed MOUZ	34c	589.4$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a4…2a56backed MOUZ	32c	579$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d00…45a4backed MOUZ	32c	559$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ	38c	531.1$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ	30c	507$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.1	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2055…aee1backed Team Falcons	69c	500$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	74cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	128	68%87 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons	68c	500$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed MOUZ	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	171	46.8%80 W · 91 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked MOUZ	12c	499.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Team Falcons	71c	492.96$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.96	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked MOUZ	32c	468.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ	16c	443.29$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.71	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Team Falcons	69c	400$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Team Falcons	73c	383.56$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.56	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6d…26b2backed Team Falcons	68c	360$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ	29c	350$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed MOUZ	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa7…cf57backed Team Falcons	68c	330$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed MOUZ	31c	319.03$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.9	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d6…1582backed Team Falcons	68c	316$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a32…8635backed Team Falcons	71c	313$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked MOUZ	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed MOUZ	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons	68c	309.81$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.81	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Team Falcons	66c	296.89$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Falcons	68c	292.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.53	205	56.1%115 W · 90 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…5121backed Team Falcons	68c	291$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a99…cedcbacked Team Falcons	68c	288$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ	34c	282.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.12	876	45.7%400 W · 476 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons	71c	282.76$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.76	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d7…e896backed Team Falcons	68c	281$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9098…8114backed Team Falcons	71c	278$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d2…75f2backed Team Falcons	68c	278$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked MOUZ	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons	69c	232.31$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.31	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed MOUZ	31c	229.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	208	38.9%81 W · 127 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b00…7cbbbacked MOUZ	32c	220$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.51	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons	68c	219.55$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.55	61	75.4%46 W · 15 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Team Falcons	70c	215.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.14	14	92.9%13 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.21per pick	71cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3874…d903backed Team Falcons	71c	211$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…613dbacked MOUZ	31c	209.35$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ	15c	199.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	537	57.7%310 W · 227 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5263…3050backed Team Falcons	67c	199.98$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+69%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…2ecdbacked Team Falcons	69c	196$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14af…79dcbacked MOUZ	31c	196$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…39c3backed Team Falcons	66c	188$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…a176backed MOUZ	34c	188$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed MOUZ	27c	181.85$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	173	42.8%74 W · 99 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…4d87backed Team Falcons	68c	177$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x149c…95eabacked MOUZ	34c	177$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa5…2c05backed Team Falcons	68c	177$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe7…63cfbacked MOUZ	32c	177$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c19…9d81backed MOUZ	32c	177$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fc…1929backed Team Falcons	66c	177$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)this page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event