TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,059,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,061,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,059,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers44c331,861$145,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,266.5788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Stars56c272,725$152,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,72610349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars55c168,327$93,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,2881,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Stars57c149,556$85,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,246.75749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Panthers45c107,174$48,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,945.5811955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Stars56c92,434$51,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,763.210050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Panthers43c71,048$30,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,497.144665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Panthers45c67,211$30,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,960.641376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars55c35,006$19,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,253.1956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers44c28,347$12,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,016.0519555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Stars56c25,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Stars17c24,564$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.144425%11 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Panthers46c23,834$11,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,764.7230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers44c23,000$10,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,88010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Stars55c22,777$12,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,527.1733345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Panthers45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,00016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars56c14,698$8,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,180.661,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Stars58c12,013$6,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,944.862850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers44c11,275$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,301.721,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Stars56c10,936$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.132955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Panthers48c10,676$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,575.881947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Panthers44c10,227$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,727.1228652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Panthers44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Panthers43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Panthers42c9,391$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,446.5162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers43c8,800$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,974.5479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Panthers45c8,223$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.648452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers44c8,211$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.882,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers44c7,977$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.351,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Stars0c7,857$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Panthers44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Panthers42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.9627548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Stars56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80011352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers43c4,995$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.170547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars57c4,576$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.361,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Panthers44c3,881$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.3924349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Panthers44c3,636$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.1652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers44c3,569$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.6430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars56c3,555$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Stars56c3,393$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9550…d284backed Panthers43c3,109$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b08…6b44backed Stars57c3,099$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars3c2,658$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Stars56c2,625$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.0420951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Stars57c2,619$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Stars13c2,400$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30518132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Stars56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28822946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers76c2,183$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers58c2,148$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.11,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Stars4c2,135$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.25319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers44c2,113$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.3992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Panthers44c2,031$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.7254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Panthers43c1,800$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.8322150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Stars56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Stars56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers64c1,621$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.882,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Stars56c1,607$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Stars55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82516241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Panthers44c1,500$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.091,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Stars58c1,474$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Panthers45c1,330$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.561959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Stars19c1,322$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers55c1,204$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.783,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers60c1,102$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.9195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Panthers44c1,020$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.222248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Stars57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Panthers45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Panthers43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5707750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Panthers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Panthers43c999.98$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.999353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Stars55c999.96$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Panthers61c982.26$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3429926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers56c941.2$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers44c804$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.241,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Stars21c761$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8113435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Panthers44c749.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.995349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers45c717$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.781,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Stars56c703.26$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3118159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Stars49c700$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34114840.5%60 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Stars25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17543742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Panthers44c618.31$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2539047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Panthers44c600$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33843944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Panthers45c597.4$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Panthers44c587.76$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.158645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Panthers44c555$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9129345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars56c536$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1647051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e4…ddfdbacked Panthers45c517.09$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars55c500$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Stars54c499.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.994953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e96…5bcdbacked Stars56c481.19$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Panthers79c464.67$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c76…41d9backed Stars7c459.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326339.7%25 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Stars55c453.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.711543.5%50 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.