NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb465811865affa30236db5d68fc7ef7442c1faea1118a2cc6e9cb7133d830933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Golden Knights, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $954,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Flames | 48c | 616,640$293,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322,767.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 53c | 184,259$97,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,657.15 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 156,378$81,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,316.41 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights | 52c | 83,833$43,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,592.93 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Golden Knights | 55c | 60,300$33,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,030 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 55c | 50,000$27,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,498.7 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 24,292$12,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,632.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 19c | 23,255$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.25 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Golden Knights | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,821.76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 18,278$9,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,504.68 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 15,153$7,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,905.31 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Flames | 46c | 12,416$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.54 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 77c | 11,015$8,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flames | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.97 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 45c | 8,131$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 7,591$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.06 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights | 19c | 7,526$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flames | 46c | 7,228$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.26 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 0c | 6,655$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 49c | 6,555$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.7 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 53c | 5,021$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.88 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Golden Knights | 54c | 4,475$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.49 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Golden Knights | 0c | 4,205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 46c | 4,027$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.66 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Flames | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Flames | 45c | 3,745$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.62 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Golden Knights | 54c | 3,488$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Golden Knights | 15c | 3,290$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.34 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 53c | 3,054$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.79 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,703$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.95 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Golden Knights | 34c | 2,607$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Flames | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 2,115$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.96 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,023$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.94 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,011$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.41 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 47c | 1,713$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.45 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.64 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,503$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.29 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,492$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.73 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,382$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Flames | 66c | 1,372$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,144$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 57c | 1,023$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flames | 44c | 1,017$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.35 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked Flames | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Flames | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Golden Knights | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 25c | 910.92$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Golden Knights | 23c | 867.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 808$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.16 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed Golden Knights | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Flames | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Golden Knights | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Golden Knights | 40c | 673.06$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 662.27$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flames | 66c | 644.32$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…8ae3backed Flames | 46c | 621.16$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Golden Knights | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Flames | 45c | 580$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b31abacked Golden Knights | 54c | 550.07$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Flames | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Golden Knights | 47c | 540$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 54c | 520$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Flames | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Flames | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 10c | 455.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…e41fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 377.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Golden Knights | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…6497backed Golden Knights | 31c | 328.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Flames | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Golden Knights | 36c | 312$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…7514backed Golden Knights | 54c | 311.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Golden Knights | 8c | 310.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Golden Knights | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Golden Knights | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Flames | 46c | 278.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Flames | 48c | 277.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…6cb5backed Golden Knights | 54c | 249.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 237$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.