Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7a86626ccde0882aba76c2cd532b6cdff8afef990aebdc023d3f4cafa20791

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $897,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $461,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $897,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	17,095$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.45	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	8c	15,162$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.92	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	14,551$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.88	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	8c	14,272$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.79	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	11,399$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.5	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	11,342$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.28	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	2c	10,000$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.5	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	9,044$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.31	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	7,979$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.29	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	7,524$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.24	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	12c	7,009$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.68	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	3c	6,760$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.22	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	18c	6,029$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.41	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	1c	6,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	9c	5,939$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.66	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	5,891$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.99	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	5,159$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.33	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	9c	4,955$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.42	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d69…e597backed Yes	1c	4,914$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	10c	4,839$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.26	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	10c	4,746$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.14	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	8c	4,611$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.02	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	4,494$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.83	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	11c	4,473$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.91	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed7c…9400backed Yes	1c	4,356$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.73	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	4,327$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.86	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c81…5d38backed Yes	6c	4,323$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	4,127$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.58	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Yes	1c	3,769$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	3,578$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.81	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	9c	3,558$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.29	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	8c	3,553$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.62	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	3,518$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.34	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes	0c	3,421$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+6.1wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+152.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	3,342$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.8	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960b…9303backed Yes	3c	3,124$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.24	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	3,114$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.48	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	3,075$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	3,069$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.94	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	3,065$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.75	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	0c	3,063$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	7c	3,014$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.62	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	2,968$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.95	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,947$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	7c	2,945$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.85	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	4c	2,896$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.26	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	2,821$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.64	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	2,787$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.16	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…746fbacked Yes	7c	2,750$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.49	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	2,691$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.9	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	8c	2,642$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.91	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	6c	2,613$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.92	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	8c	2,534$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.71	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	2,522$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.76	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,390$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.22	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa52…780dbacked Yes	3c	2,356$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.86	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	2,300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.4	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	4c	2,254$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.67	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	8c	2,118$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.31	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,050$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.99	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	14c	2,016$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.45	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	7c	1,967$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.54	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	7c	1,875$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.87	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes	10c	1,817$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.8	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	9c	1,752$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.46	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	1,734$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.14	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	4c	1,700$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	12c	1,665$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.12	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	6c	1,662$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.23	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	8c	1,614$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.65	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	12c	1,580$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.43	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	4c	1,575$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	12c	1,537$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.7	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes	8c	1,533$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.75	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	2c	1,492$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	8c	1,444$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.29	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes	6c	1,422$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.57	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	7c	1,371$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.27	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes	8c	1,337$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.51	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	4c	1,336$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.76	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	8c	1,315$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.23	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe190…e93dbacked Yes	2c	1,282$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	1,243$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.17	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	1,240$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.57	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…c200backed Yes	3c	1,215$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.49	158	20.9%33 W · 125 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	8c	1,193$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.76	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9a…05f1backed Yes	1c	1,172$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes	13c	1,125$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	14c	1,120$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.35	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8d…fc71backed Yes	1c	1,105$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	1,050$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	8c	1,039$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.38	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event